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Suit combination Not quite a pure problem?

#21 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-February-16, 02:36

Regarding the actual hand, I can reduce the risk of a heart ruff by cashing two top diamonds to throw a heart. However, I'd then have to worry about keeping an entry to dummy's two red-suit winners, and in any case throwing a heart doesn't eliminate the risk of a ruff, because there can still be a promotion, or even a pseudo promotion, where I ruff the second heart high and then lose another trump trick. I don't like that plan, so it's just a matter of how to play the trump suit.

If West has led a singleton, I can't do any better than ace and another trump. If East has a singleton heart and West has Kx, I was planning to go down anyway. So, I play ace and another trump.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#22 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2009-March-12, 08:24

This thread solved the abstract suit combination problem, but sort of died when it came to playing the hand, so it's time to resurrect it.

Here's what I thought at the table:

- I wish I was in 6NT (that thought didn't take long)
- Low to the 10 and ace and another are pretty close a priori (this thread showed that they are less close than I originally thought)

BUT

We've had an auction that indicates dummy wants to play in a trump contract, and it's almost certainly a 5-3 fit.

Wouldn't LHO lead a trump from two or three low at least some of the time, but never from e.g. KJ, and never from four? That's a rhetorical question, the answer is definitely yes... but how often? And more or less often than RHO's lead being a singleton?

Anyway, I thought I might have got a trump lead on some of these layouts. I won the heart in hand (with the Ace) and played a spade to the 10, and RHO's....9. LHO had KJxx and we gained 14 imps.

Was interested to see if anyone thought the same, or there was an inference any other way.
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