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#1 User is offline   ajm218 

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Posted 2008-December-12, 06:39



The opps are playing acol and had the auction
1♥ 1♠
2NT 3NT

2NT is 18-20

We play 2nd and 4ths partner lead the 6♣ which went to the ten and my jack, declarer following with the 8, i returned the 3 to the 9 and queen and partner exited with the 7 of clubs, declarer pitched a ♦, which major would you pitch from?
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#2 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2008-December-12, 07:09

I surely won't pitch a major at all. So, what is left?
There are three possible clues:

First: The bidding: Declarer has at most 3 Spades and 3 Diamonds, so I must hold on hearts.
Second the play: Declarer pitched his 5. diamond, not his 4. spade. He wants to play on spades more then on Diamonds, we MUST keep spades.
Third: Maybe pds 7 is a kind of signal for the missing suit. But the play seems to be so obvious that the discard is easy. If the 7 is a signal, it is a sign for spades. But there is no holding, where he wants us to play spades, so I doubt that the 7 shows anything.
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#3 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-December-12, 07:31

Codo, on Dec 12 2008, 08:09 AM, said:

I surely won't pitch a major at all. So, what is left?
There are three possible clues:

First: The bidding: Declarer has at most 3 Spades and 3 Diamonds, so I must hold on hearts.
Second the play: Declarer pitched his 5. diamond, not his 4. spade. He wants to play on spades more then on Diamonds, we MUST keep spades.
Third: Maybe pds 7 is a kind of signal for the missing suit. But the play seems to be so obvious that the discard is easy. If the 7 is a signal, it is a sign for spades. But there is no holding, where he wants us to play spades, so I doubt that the 7 shows anything.

Partner started with KQ7652, and led back the 7 from K752. How is that a signal for spades?

On the 3rd round of clubs, partner could have led the K or the 2, but instead led the 7. As far as I can see, partner's signal is all we have to go on - without a signal, declarer could have any of

(1) xx AKQxx AQx A98, or
(2) Kxx AKxx AQx A98, or
(3) Kx AKQ9 Axxx A98.

So, I am going to pitch a heart, playing partner for a heart card, and declarer to have a hand similar to (2).
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#4 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-December-12, 07:37

Partner started with KQ762 of clubs. He led a systemic 6. He played the Q on the second round, which is the neutral card to play. He played the 7 on the third round, which is his middle remaining card. With three suits oustanding, if his card means anything it shows a heart card. He can't have the ace of diamonds, that is clear.

If opponents are playing Acol, that means declarer is either 3=4=3=3 or has five hearts. Can declarer be 4-4 in hearts and diamonds?

You haven't given the form of scoring, and this is a different problem at matchpoints and at imps. Let's assume it's imps, and we are maining trying to beat the contract.

- If partner has the king of spades, declarer has the AKQ of hearts, the A of clubs and the AQ of diamonds. He either has 5 hearts and can make 4 hearts, 2 spades, 2 diamonds, 1 club, or has 3 diamonds and has 3 hearts, 2 spades, 3 diamonds, 1 club. That means that declarer must have the SK and a spade discard will give declarer a trick immediately.

- If partner has the red suit queens we need to discard a diamond HONOUR on this trick

- if partner has the HK we just discard a heart and get on with it, declarer doesn't have 9 tricks.

But if partner has the HK declarer's diamond pitch doesn't really make sense.

Go on then, you've convinced me. I discard the king of diamonds. That will definitely make me famous if it works.

Declarer has

Kxx
AKQx
Axx
Axx

edit: if declarer has a hand such as your (2) above he has 9 tricks even after discarding a diamond from dummy. He had 10 if he'd thrown a heart. If he has your hand (3) we are triple squeezed anyway, it doesn't matter what we throw.
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#5 User is offline   ajm218 

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Posted 2008-December-12, 08:43

All I can say is well done Frances.... ;)

My comment on which major to pitch was completely gratuitous and designed to avoid people looking at it in a trivial manner and finding the "obvious play"

Frances has the hand down to a card - i should probably ask her to give me the pips next time....

I knew i couldn't pitch a ♥ or a ♠ and i gave some thought to pitching the K♦ but i bottled it ;)
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#6 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-December-13, 22:15

Interesting problem Aim218! And well done (again) Frances!
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#7 User is offline   foo 

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Posted 2008-December-19, 15:06

FrancesHinden, on Dec 12 2008, 08:37 AM, said:

Partner started with KQ762 of clubs. He led a systemic 6. He played the Q on the second round, which is the neutral card to play. He played the 7 on the third round, which is his middle remaining card. With three suits oustanding, if his card means anything it shows a heart card. He can't have the ace of diamonds, that is clear.

If opponents are playing Acol, that means declarer is either 3=4=3=3 or has five hearts. Can declarer be 4-4 in hearts and diamonds?

You haven't given the form of scoring, and this is a different problem at matchpoints and at imps. Let's assume it's imps, and we are maining trying to beat the contract.

- If partner has the king of spades, declarer has the AKQ of hearts, the A of clubs and the AQ of diamonds. He either has 5 hearts and can make 4 hearts, 2 spades, 2 diamonds, 1 club, or has 3 diamonds and has 3 hearts, 2 spades, 3 diamonds, 1 club. That means that declarer must have the SK and a spade discard will give declarer a trick immediately.

- If partner has the red suit queens we need to discard a diamond HONOUR on this trick

- if partner has the HK we just discard a heart and get on with it, declarer doesn't have 9 tricks.

But if partner has the HK declarer's diamond pitch doesn't really make sense.

Go on then, you've convinced me. I discard the king of diamonds. That will definitely make me famous if it works.

Declarer has

Kxx
AKQx
Axx
Axx

edit: if declarer has a hand such as your (2) above he has 9 tricks even after discarding a diamond from dummy. He had 10 if he'd thrown a heart. If he has your hand (3) we are triple squeezed anyway, it doesn't matter what we throw.

That's an absolutely beautiful analysis Frances. :)
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#8 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2008-December-19, 15:38

When Frances makes an analysis there is not much left other than clap :)
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#9 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-December-19, 22:52

So who has the 13th club Frances? And if partner has it, then how is the 7 a middle card?
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#10 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-December-20, 02:29

han, on Dec 19 2008, 10:52 PM, said:

So who has the 13th club Frances? And if partner has it, then how is the 7 a middle card?

I think I can answer the first question. Most declarers wouldn't follow with the 8, 9 with A985, when taking the first trick would give them a double stop.
As for why partner led back the 7 from K752 when his only remaining honor was in the lowest remaining suit, well maybe ajm can clarify that...
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#11 User is offline   Benoit35 

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Posted 2008-December-20, 08:38

Without knowing any better, a 6-3 break is (statistically) less likely than 5-4 for the unseen clubs, and the latter is consistent with an ACOL 1♥ reaching a NT contract.

But we do know better. We didn't hear anything like a 3♣ overcall, did we? He has 5 cards.
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#12 User is offline   Mosene 

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Posted 2008-December-20, 13:02

Zero chance declarer has A985. He has them double stopped by simply playing low off dummy on the first trick and letting the J hold. A club through and partner wins the Q of clubs. This leaves declarer with A9 and partner with K7.

Ooops - Missed the Cherdano answer - I agree with him.
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