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MP Raise?

#1 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 07:52

Matchpoints, white / red

2 on your right, alerted as 11-15, 5+ diamonds. You pass with Axxx QJxx KQxx x

LHO responds 2 (forcing and natural). Pard comes in with 2 and RHO raises to 3.

Your call?
"Phil" on BBO
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#2 User is offline   NickRW 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 08:21

Not sure, but I fancy 4.

Nick
"Pass is your friend" - my brother in law - who likes to bid a lot.
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#3 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 08:23

Seems like there's 2 strategies I can adopt. Bid 3 now and hope to saw them off in 4, or bid 4.

I think it's pretty likely that 4 will make, though, so I'll just bid that.
Kevin Fay
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#4 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 08:43

Phil, when do you ever learn to trust the vulnerable opponents?

3.
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#5 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 09:23

My first thought was to bid 3NT and avoid diamond ruffs, as partner must have club cards on this auction.

However, the danger in the heart suit is real, and I have reconsidered. I go back to the obvious 4 call.
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#6 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 11:23

Easy 4 bid, even opposite some joke overcalls like

Kxxxxx x Jx QJxx game is OK, the two wasted QJ's notwithstanding.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#7 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 13:21

4. None of us know why it will be right, it just will be.

Usually.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#8 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 16:05

4... this may well be making unless they have diamond ruffs coming, and find them... heart out to lho, diamond back and a club entry to rho for the second ruff... odds are against that layout.

Besides, I surely do NOT want to defend 4, but would be okay spanking 5
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#9 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 16:12

I'd most probably just raise to 4, but I could see myself bidding 4 on the way with this hand.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#10 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 17:52

skaeran, on Nov 11 2008, 05:12 PM, said:

I'd most probably just raise to 4, but I could see myself bidding 4 on the way with this hand.

I think it would be an error to bid 4. Partner is probably light given the vul and auction, so the chances of us finding a slam or something pale in comparison to the chances they would benefit by doubling a 4 bid.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#11 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 17:54

4 looks normal.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#12 User is offline   ahri 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 19:25

4 here too.
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#13 User is offline   effervesce 

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Posted 2008-November-11, 19:58

KQxx in diamonds is a warning sign for me. It looks like diamond lead, diamond ruff, heart lead, diamond ruff.

I'm bidding 3.

If LHO does not have a diamond singleton, but partner instead, then you have diamond tricks coming in defense, which are wasted in a spade contract.
Ming

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#14 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2008-November-12, 11:10

I'm white, they're red?
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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#15 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2008-November-12, 11:43

bid_em_up, on Nov 12 2008, 12:10 PM, said:

I'm white, they're red?

That never happens!
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
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#16 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2008-November-12, 12:58

Incredible to me that so many are willing to signoff in 3. I thought this was a 4/cuebid-raise to 4 decision. I'm "just" bidding 4, since my values are very soft and I need a perfecto for slam (Kxxxxx, x, Ax, Axxx).
Michael Askgaard
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#17 User is offline   keylime 

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  Posted 2008-November-12, 14:36

4 with me. Someone's farting around.
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
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#18 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-November-12, 15:29

effervesce, on Nov 11 2008, 08:58 PM, said:

KQxx in diamonds is a warning sign for me. It looks like diamond lead, diamond ruff, heart lead, diamond ruff.

I'm bidding 3.

If LHO does not have a diamond singleton, but partner instead, then you have diamond tricks coming in defense, which are wasted in a spade contract.

I would give long odds against a diamond lead.. I agree with the fear of ruffs, but not at trick 2... think about it: I would guess a diamond lead would be the 3rd choice of opening lead. One of the reasons tbat most winning bridge players bid aggressively is that defence, and particularly the opening lead, is difficult. It is losing bridge to firstly imagine that a losing layout exists and then, to compound the problem, expect double-dummy defence in what amounts to a blind guess.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#19 User is offline   effervesce 

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Posted 2008-November-12, 16:30

mikeh, on Nov 12 2008, 04:29 PM, said:

effervesce, on Nov 11 2008, 08:58 PM, said:

KQxx in diamonds is a warning sign for me. It looks like diamond lead, diamond ruff, heart lead, diamond ruff.

I'm bidding 3.

If LHO does not have a diamond singleton, but partner instead, then you have diamond tricks coming in defense, which are wasted in a spade contract.

I would give long odds against a diamond lead.. I agree with the fear of ruffs, but not at trick 2... think about it: I would guess a diamond lead would be the 3rd choice of opening lead. One of the reasons tbat most winning bridge players bid aggressively is that defence, and particularly the opening lead, is difficult. It is losing bridge to firstly imagine that a losing layout exists and then, to compound the problem, expect double-dummy defence in what amounts to a blind guess.

Oops you're correct-for some reason I thought LHO would be leading.
Leading from Axxxx(x) would be very unlikely.

It's closer now, but I think 3 is still enough at MP.
Ming

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#20 User is offline   Rossoneri 

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Posted 2008-November-29, 16:26

I'll go with 4
SCBA National TD, EBU Club TD

Unless explicitly stated, none of my views here can be taken to represent SCBA or any other organizations.
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