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Don't hesitate

#1 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 03:39

Scoring: IMP


(3) pass (pass) X
(pass)

Your call?
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#2 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 04:03

5D.

Spoiler


With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#3 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 04:04

5. Even if 4NT is for the minors (I don't think it should be, 13-15 balanced rather), I won't let partner choose with 6-4.

I know the hand but am not going to reveal anything.

Roland
It's nice to be important, but it's more important to be nice
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#4 User is offline   HedyG 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 05:04

5 seems right.
would a longish huddle by partner before the double change my bid?...
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#5 User is offline   paulg 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 07:28

5 seems normal to me too.

A hesitation before the double could be for many reasons, most of which would mean that 5 is the wrong call but that is a good reason (ethical speaking) for bidding it.

Paul
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I don't work for BBO and any advice is based on my BBO experience over the decades
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#6 User is offline   vuroth 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 12:46

A novice thought - from the time I passed, I should probably have been thinking about what I would do if partner doubled (or bid 3NT, or whatever).

Not sure who hesitated when at the table, but I thought I'd share that bit of advice. Of course, most experienced players probably already do that all the time.
Still decidedly intermediate - don't take my guesses as authoritative.

"gwnn" said:

rule number 1 in efficient forum reading:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
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#7 User is offline   jtfanclub 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 13:48

I am such a coward. I would bid 4.

Something is wrong with this hand. Partner doubled, I have only two spades, if the opponents had a 10 card spade fit, would they let me bid at the 3 level? I doubt it. So I suspect partner's got a strong balanced hand with no spade stopper, and if we have two spade losers, I don't think we're making 5.


If the auction had gone 3 X P I would say 5, but I've been burned too often with partner balancing with a good but not great balanced hand.

P.S. I'm having a hard time imagining a hand where I would have the auction

3 P P X
P 5

Where I did not have exactly 3 hearts. Outside of checking to see whether partner has a major, the hands where I would bid 4 directly and the hands where I'd take partner's balance and bid 5 are exactly the same.
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#8 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 13:51

5 of course, seriously what else?
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#9 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 14:15

5 is clear to me at IMPs.

If partner hesitated before the double (I know that happened at the table), I've got UI suggesting that 5 might not be as good a bid as without the hesitation, compelling me to chose the non-suggestid call. So 5 it is.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#10 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 14:24

I expected more inspired players when a question is asked in a forum. :)

But I agree with the majority and think that you "must" bid 5 Diamond espacially after a BIT from partner.

At the table 5 Diamond had not been the winning call. Pass or 3 NT works better, 5 Diamond will often fail by one trick.
Kind Regards

Roland


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More system is not the answer...
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#11 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 14:28

5 still seems obvious to me.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#12 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 15:12

I can't construct a series of heavy sighs by partner which would persuade me to not bid 5.
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#13 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 15:40

5 might have been the right call actually, because it takes a club lead to defeat it from

Jx
KJxx
xx
A10xxx

Roland
It's nice to be important, but it's more important to be nice
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#14 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 15:52

Entire hand, anyone? Enough of the story has leaked out that inquiring minds deserve to know.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#15 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 16:01

Scoring: IMP

It's nice to be important, but it's more important to be nice
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#16 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 16:08

Partner certainly has an interesting reopening problem. Also I would agree with south leading the ace of clubs, although of course this is far from automatic. Declarer will surely get the diamond finesse wrong and go down anyway.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#17 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 16:36

Hi,

there was more to this.

A problem was also, how the whole thing got handled,
but what I know is only hear say.

Maybe someone, who knowes it first hand, could tell
the whole story.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#18 User is offline   jkljkl 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 17:40

P_Marlowe, on Nov 10 2008, 05:36 PM, said:

Hi,

there was more to this.

A problem was also, how the whole thing got handled,
but what I know is only hear say.

Maybe someone, who knowes it first hand, could tell
the whole story.

With kind regards
Marlowe

Hello,

on blml they are trying to gather the facts.

A fair recap of an email of Michael Gromöller can be found at
http://www.amsterdamned.org/pipermail/blml...ber/043859.html

The position of Ton Kooyman ( I don't know bout his function at the venue) in answer to a not perfect recap by another poster can be found at
http://www.amsterdamned.org/pipermail/blml...ber/043841.html

of course you can read and follow the whole discussion in the archives of
http://www.amsterdam...n/listinfo/blml
(go to november 2008 sorted by date)

It seems likely that Michael Gromöller will post there too in the near fture,

ciao stefan
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#19 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 18:42

Depending on the opponents and our own partnership bidding style i think there is something to jtfanclub's argument that given there was no raise to 4 there is some case for being pessimistic with this hand (or perhaps an optimistic punt on 3NT) - Qx is very poor holding when a pre-empt has not been raised. Even many clear-cut takeout doubles will have two spades (and many marginal doubles will have a stiff spade).

In general I think a slow takeout double conveys much less UI than a slow pass in second seat. Slow actions, particularly at high levels, will often not demonstably suggest one action over another.

In this case a slow double could be:

1. Marginal Minimum Values

2. Marginal Distribution

3. A marginal decision between a simple overcall and a double and bid hand

4. Some combination of 1 and 2
Wayne Burrows

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Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#20 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-November-10, 19:02

Cascade, on Nov 10 2008, 07:42 PM, said:

In general I think a slow takeout double conveys much less UI than a slow pass in second seat. Slow actions, particularly at high levels, will often not demonstably suggest one action over another.

In this case a slow double could be:

1. Marginal Minimum Values

2. Marginal Distribution

3. A marginal decision between a simple overcall and a double and bid hand

4. Some combination of 1 and 2

Perhaps true, but don't these all point toward bidding less rather than more? If 1. you don't get too high, if 2. he is most likely short in diamonds so you don't get too high, if 3. he is bidding again anyway so you leave partner maximum room.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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