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hmmm?

#1 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2008-November-14, 14:49

Scoring: IMP


RHO (east) is the dealer and the opponents have an unobstructed auction of:

1♦-1♥
1NT-4♣
4♥-4NT
5♥-6NT

1NT = 11-14, can have 4♠; 4♣ = Ace ask, 4♥=1 Ace, 4NT=king ask, 5♥=2 kings

Opps are known to be a bit below intermediate level.

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#2 User is offline   keylime 

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  Posted 2008-November-14, 14:51

Club lead...I'm thinking very passively. This is likely the wrong lead.
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#3 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-November-14, 14:58

What an awful problem to have. The nice thing about a low club is that even if we blow a trick, by showing club length we may convince declarer to play partner for other queens. But I have a feeling I'm just going to get this wrong. Heck I can easily imagine jack of hearts working. Anyway I go ten of clubs (I think that is much better than low.)
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#4 User is offline   keylime 

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  Posted 2008-November-14, 15:01

Josh,

I agree, 10 or 9 of clubs isn't too bad here.
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
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#5 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-November-14, 15:07

If you lead a club, do you obey your normal leading agreements? E.g. T promises a higher honor than a jack/02 higher ?
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Posted 2008-November-14, 20:10

This is a slam contract. You are not expected to be leading the 10 from an interior sequence.

So, the answer is no.
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#7 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-November-14, 22:16

Club looks fairly normal.

Certainly I am not leading a spade or a diamond. While a heart is reasonable, I don't really feel like leading from J9x of dummy's suit.
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#8 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-November-14, 23:02

I'm leading the heart, and I don't consider this close.

These people are "a bit below intermediate level." In theory, that should mean that they have 32 HCP for this slam. If that is in fact the case, then partner does not have the heart Queen and we are not giving away a trick leading hearts.

Countering that is the "Gerber as the Quantitative Substitute" convention, suggesting that partner may well have some values. However, I don't see the likelihood of partner actually having a heart card that matters being significant enough.

Against all of this is the extremely high chance, IMO, that Opener, limited to a maximum of three in either major, and probably limited to a maximum of five diamonds, and hence a dead minimum of two but probably more clubs, has the club Jack. If he does, I'm fairly certain that I just yielded the contract.

Declarer needs the diamond finesse, he thinks. That fails. He then needs a black suit to work out instead. One of them. I ain't giving him clubs.
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#9 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2008-November-15, 01:26

My thought is also a ♥, but I'm still not sure if it's a good idea to start with a small, or with the J...
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#10 User is offline   ardf10987 

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Posted 2008-November-15, 03:20

I'll lead a hearts.

To bid this way ♥ are probably AKQxxx... for 2/3 small.
They have probably all 4 aces and 3 kings, and this means 11 tricks...

Only hope is some useful ♦ holding from partner... but we must not blow the 12° trick immediatly...
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#11 User is offline   y66 

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Posted 2008-November-15, 06:25

Small heart.
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#12 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2008-November-16, 10:07

Hmm interesting. A heart does have more of an appeal than I thought. This was the full hand, though it doesn't really say anything lol

Scoring: IMP

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