RichMor, on Oct 22 2008, 10:30 AM, said:
kenrexford, on Oct 21 2008, 11:13 PM, said:
Because, for better or worse, majors rule.
Also, I'm not so sure that clubs-as-artificial is so "theorectically incorrect." If I was able to pick a suit to treat as assuredly natural, it would be hearts, because a heart fit is most likely to be the fit where we can agree trumps at a low enough level (3♥) to effectively cuebid, and because it is wildly more likely that partner will actually raise the suit that he can raise below 3NT rather than the suit where he must bypass 3NT.
Also, keep in mind that a Jump Shift sets a GF, which per force establishes room to "work things out." In contrast, a reverse does not establish a GF, requiring that the partnership work out not just strain but also level, which takes more room.
Finally, space savings is only an asset if the space saved is useful. Sometimes it makes sense to dump all of the available space into one sequence line of two rather than to split the space evenly between the two lines if the split of space yields two "C" auctions but the concentration of space yields a "D" and an "A" auction. A 2.0 average loses in the end to a 2.5 average.
Sorry I don't have any clever insults to add to the discussion. Guess I will just have to talk about bridge.
Ken,
OK 'majors rule'. But I don't see any evidence that 'a Heart fit is most likely to be the the fit where we can agree trumps............'.
The direct evidence from the auction is that responder has some cards in Spades and has more Spades than Hearts. The indirect evidence is that opener does not have a lot of cards in Hearts because of the choice to open 1
♦.
So if we are going to use the rest of the bids to investigate degree of major suit fit, then we should focus on Spades.
I think it is better to lie with 2
♥ than to lie with 3
♣ becasue the lower bid makes it cheaper for responder to show extra Spade length and easier for opener to show Spade support.
As to 'a reverse does not establish a GF' and 'the partnership (must) work out not just strain but also level'; that's true. But the reverse gives the partnership much more room. So I don't see any upside for 3
♣ just because it is a GF.
Lastly, when we dump or split available bidding space, doesn't it make most sense to assign more hand types to the lower bid (2
♥) than to the higher(3
♣) ?
Think through the possible actual continuations.
If I bid 3
♣, partner knows that I either have clubs and diamonds OR just clubs. He will usually bid 3
♦ to find out, although a 3
♥ or 3
♠ call works, as this solves MY personal problem (I can agree spades either by bidding 3
♠ over 3
♥ or 4
♥ over 3
♠). If he bids 3
♦, I can bid 3
♠, which should clarify matters properly. If he bids 4
♣, then I can rule out spades.
If I bid 2
♥, partner might be able to bid 2
♠, which helps me but to no real gain over the alternative auction. If he bids 2NT, I am well placed to focus diamonds. If he bids 3
♣, GF, I am OK. If he bids 3
♦, also GF, I am in better shape than after 3
♣-3
♦, because diamonds are clearly focused. However, I expect that this action is highly improbable. If he bids 3
♥, I have the problem.
When he does bid 3
♥, on this hand I want to bid 3
♠ as a natural call, agreeing spades. If it means that, then we are well-placed for spade sequences. However, we would be equally well-placed in that event, because partner, over 3
♣, could bid 3
♦ or 3
♥, allowing me to bid 3
♠, placing us in the same situation.
However, what if I do have hearts? Now, because of this maneuver, I cannot cue a spade card at all. In fact, I think 4
♦ would logically not be a cue either, as that would be my call with this hand. So, my only option is a general, meaningless 4
♣ "cue," whatever that means. If my heart suit is assured, I have 3
♠, 3NT, 4
♣, and 4
♦ available.
So, I am better in heart-based sequences if 2
♥ is always real.
What about the club suit, then? Why not simply make 3
♣ always real, which helps in club-based sequences?
The problem with that is frequency. For partner to be interested in exploring a club game, he would need to bypass 3NT. If you play that 3
♣ is "semi-natural," meaning a three-bagger is possible, then he needs five clubs for this, maybe. But, even if he can raise clubs, his call of 4
♣ does not really gain us anything. He could bid 4
♣ after an artificial 3
♣ anyway. Where it gains is in that slim area where a raise to 4
♣ only makes sense if my clubs are real. That small situation seems to be of less frequency than the simple 4-4 heart fit.
I may be wrong, but it seems logical to me.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."
-P.J. Painter.
1♦ - 1♠
3♣ - 3♥
3♠ - 4NT
5♠* - 6NT
* 2 key cards plus ♠Q