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Overcall or not? Over a weak two

Poll: Bid or Pass? (44 member(s) have cast votes)

Bid or Pass?

  1. Bid 3H (22 votes [50.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 50.00%

  2. Pass (22 votes [50.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 50.00%

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#1 User is offline   effervesce 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 15:50

East opens 2, a 5 card 8-11HCP hand. Do you overcall 3 with

Scoring: IMP

Ming

--Always remember you're unique. Just like everyone else.
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#2 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 16:26

I vote pass. Just too risky for me.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#3 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 16:44

bidding here is so sick.
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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#4 User is offline   mr1303 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 16:50

Bidding here could work out very well or very badly. If it catches partner with a fair hand and a fit, we will make a game that may well be missed if I pass. Against that, if partner has a poor hand we will go for a telephone number with opponents unable to make anything.

I will pass, but will admit that it is close.
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#5 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 16:53

pass, but i think it is close.

Given that 2S is constr., pass is certainly the smarter choice.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#6 User is online   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 17:16

I'd need the heart Jack to bid. The 1098 would tempt me. As it is, I'm not interested.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#7 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 17:22

Didn't we start with xxx in spades and the Ace of diamonds? :D

Anyway, with 3 cards in spades I pass.

With the same heart suit and a doubleton spade I will happily overcall 3.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#8 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-October-08, 21:42

I'm out. If partner can't double, it is relatively unlikely we can make game. Going for a number here opposite nothing is also a very real possibility.
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#9 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 01:28

All defense; little offense. Pass. The fact that you have a Fantoni-esque 'weak' 2 is even greater cause for concern.
"Phil" on BBO
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#10 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 03:14

3. Pass seems rather conservative.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#11 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 11:34

With three defensive tricks and an empty suit, I'm a passer.

I'm fully aware we might miss a game, but the downside is too great, I think.
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Harald
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#12 User is offline   ulven 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 12:28

I'm a bidder. But then I generally overcall a lot more on the 2 and 3-level than the vast majority.
"When I'm working on a problem, I never think about beauty. I think only how to solve the problem. But when I have finished, if the solution is not beautiful, I know it is wrong."
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#13 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 12:53

I'm a bidder. I don't call three aces "lots of defence and little offence"
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#14 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 12:57

Isn't anyone impacted by the description of 2? It slightly reduces partner's expect heart length, and strength, relative to a "normal" weak 2.

I should say I see some people considered that. What about the bidders, maybe someone didn't notice? The thread title is a bit deceiving, after all.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#15 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 14:17

jdonn, on Oct 9 2008, 12:57 PM, said:

Isn't anyone impacted by the description of 2? It slightly reduces partner's expect heart length, and strength, relative to a "normal" weak 2.

I should say I see some people considered that. What about the bidders, maybe someone didn't notice? The thread title is a bit deceiving, after all.

I am not sure how it should affect our choice.
- Overcalling 3 is more dangerous, it is easier for LHO to double.
+ We may miss game more easily. With 3 spades partner will pass with many hands where game is good.

I think - is worth more IMPs than +.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#16 User is offline   xcurt 

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Posted 2008-October-09, 22:20

Why is everyone hating the heart suit so much? Which has a greater trick expectation integrated over partner's possible hands -- the hand we hold, or Axx, KJ976x, xx, Ax?

I think they are about the same in the heart suit, and having the trump ace gives us more possible lines of play in how we handle the offsuits.

Also, the argument that the opponents can double us more readily with the 2 method they used cuts both ways. Partner also has to be cautious balancing -- and he has zero or one aces and therefore much more reason to fear conceding a big penalty.
"It is not enough to be a good player. You must also play well." -- Tarrasch
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#17 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-October-10, 01:25

jdonn, on Oct 9 2008, 07:57 PM, said:

Isn't anyone impacted by the description of 2? It slightly reduces partner's expect heart length, and strength, relative to a "normal" weak 2.

I should say I see some people considered that. What about the bidders, maybe someone didn't notice? The thread title is a bit deceiving, after all.

Not being a tooth, I wouldn't describe myself as being impacted, but yes, I was aware of the description when I made my choice. Had it been a normal weak two, I would have used a stronger word for the pass than "conservative".
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#18 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2008-October-10, 02:00

gnasher, on Oct 10 2008, 02:25 PM, said:

Not being a tooth, I wouldn't describe myself as being impacted.

However you could only be impacted if you had wisdom.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#19 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-October-10, 10:02

xcurt, on Oct 9 2008, 11:20 PM, said:

Why is everyone hating the heart suit so much?  Which has a greater trick expectation integrated over partner's possible hands -- the hand we hold, or Axx, KJ976x, xx, Ax?

In hearts? THIS ONE! Meaning, your example suit.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#20 User is offline   xcurt 

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Posted 2008-October-11, 20:39

jdonn, on Oct 10 2008, 11:02 AM, said:

xcurt, on Oct 9 2008, 11:20 PM, said:

Why is everyone hating the heart suit so much?  Which has a greater trick expectation integrated over partner's possible hands -- the hand we hold, or Axx, KJ976x, xx, Ax?

In hearts? THIS ONE! Meaning, your example suit.

Give partner xx. Let's analyze a 4-1 break with AQ offside (you can put the T onside stiff if you like). The bad guys are going to make two trump tricks on power and probably will tap you out to make a long one. If the hearts split 3-2 with length over you, you need two honors tight onside to do better than I will with ace-empty-sixth.

Plus, having the ace is just huge on a hand like this since we can control the number of rounds of trumps taken out. Often that's worth at least one trick in the play.

You can go through a bunch of these analyses, or you can just consider that the longer the suit, the more the relative rank of the ace versus the king, and the less the relative value of the secondary honors and high spots versus the low spots.

I still like overcalling.
"It is not enough to be a good player. You must also play well." -- Tarrasch
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