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Evaluate this hand good enough to bid game?

Poll: MP, red v white, partner opens 1N (15-17) and responds 2H to Stayman, holding QJT5 KQ43 J94 75, do you pass, invite or bid game? (38 member(s) have cast votes)

MP, red v white, partner opens 1N (15-17) and responds 2H to Stayman, holding QJT5 KQ43 J94 75, do you pass, invite or bid game?

  1. Pass (2 votes [5.26%])

    Percentage of vote: 5.26%

  2. 3H (23 votes [60.53%])

    Percentage of vote: 60.53%

  3. 4H (13 votes [34.21%])

    Percentage of vote: 34.21%

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#1 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 13:36

MP, red v white, you hold QJT5 KQ43 J94 75. Partner opens 1N (15-17)and replies 2H to your Stayman bid. Is this hand good enough to insist on game?
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#2 User is offline   jocdelevat 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 13:54

by points the hand looks good for invite. if pard is min 24hcp should be good for 3h and if max 26 should be good for game.
It's not what you are, it's how you say it!

best regards
jocdelevat
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#3 User is offline   TylerE 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 14:01

Looks like a fairly middling 3 bid to me. Doesn't look like a hand to overthink.
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#4 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 14:01

IMO too many 15 counts make game at least fair for me to not bid it vul at imps. No guarantees of course...
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#5 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 14:21

At MPs I will bid 3. If game is right pard will bid it.

Perhaps a better question is do we pass 3N when pard bids it?
"Phil" on BBO
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#6 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 14:27

4h I am not going to win making delicate borderline game tries :P
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#7 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 14:32

3H seems normal at MPs.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#8 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 14:38

han, on Oct 6 2008, 03:32 PM, said:

3H seems normal at MPs.

Indeed, I don't know where I got "vul at imps" from. I have no problem with 3 at mps. At imps I think you have to bid game since it's so dependant on degree of fit. Axx of spades and xx of diamonds is 1.5 losers less than xx of spades and Axx of diamonds, for example.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#9 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 15:12

Invite, and this has nothing to with MP.

If you force to game with this hand, you can skip
the whole invite scenario.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#10 User is offline   NickRW 

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Posted 2008-October-06, 16:31

Invite only at MPs, also nv at IMPs - vul at IMPs I might be tempted to have a go - maybe.

Nick
"Pass is your friend" - my brother in law - who likes to bid a lot.
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#11 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 10:30

If partner is prone to upgrade too many 14-counts, I'll invite. Else I raise to game.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#12 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 10:35

I invite and think this is really clear.
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#13 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 11:02

Thanks for all the responses.

Recall that the hand is QJT5 KQ43 J94 75. We were playing weak NTs at the time, so the auction we had actually started 1-1-2, where 2 shows 15-17 balanced with 4 hearts (or an unbalanced equivalent). Two questions:

1) Is the semi-fit in diamonds enough to tip the scales in favor of a game bid rather than an invite? (Yes, partner could be 4=4=3=2, but we open 1 with 33 in the minors.)

2) In a MP event, does it matter to you that many pairs will start 1N-2-2? That is, do you want to duplicate their invitation/force choice even though you may have a tad more information? (Let's assume we consider ourselves to be as good as the field and we're not going out of our way to create anti-field swings or the like, the weak notrump not withstanding.)
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#14 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 11:52

After 1D-1H-2H I would definitely invite since more sensible invites are possible.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#15 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 12:14

TimG, on Oct 7 2008, 12:02 PM, said:

Thanks for all the responses.

Recall that the hand is QJT5 KQ43 J94 75. We were playing weak NTs at the time, so the auction we had actually started 1-1-2, where 2 shows 15-17 balanced with 4 hearts (or an unbalanced equivalent). Two questions:

1) Is the semi-fit in diamonds enough to tip the scales in favor of a game bid rather than an invite? (Yes, partner could be 4=4=3=2, but we open 1 with 33 in the minors.)

2) In a MP event, does it matter to you that many pairs will start 1N-2-2? That is, do you want to duplicate their invitation/force choice even though you may have a tad more information? (Let's assume we consider ourselves to be as good as the field and we're not going out of our way to create anti-field swings or the like, the weak notrump not withstanding.)

Hi,

unless you always open NT with 12HCP and
a 5422 shape, I doubt that the raise to 2H
promises 15-17.
And for that matter, I doubt opener will only
bid 2H, if he happens to hold 17HCP with a
4333 shape, he surely will bid 3H.

So you should certainly only invite, nothing
more, and you could even make a case for
passing using the LTC, which may or may
not be worth a try playing MP, depends, what
an unbal. min. opener looks like, will he always
have 12HCP, or is 11 possible with a 5431
shape?

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#16 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 12:17

TimG, on Oct 7 2008, 12:02 PM, said:

Thanks for all the responses.

Recall that the hand is QJT5 KQ43 J94 75.  We were playing weak NTs at the time, so the auction we had actually started 1-1-2, where 2 shows 15-17 balanced with 4 hearts (or an unbalanced equivalent).  Two questions:

1) Is the semi-fit in diamonds enough to tip the scales in favor of a game bid rather than an invite?  (Yes, partner could be 4=4=3=2, but we open 1 with 33 in the minors.)

2) In a MP event, does it matter to you that many pairs will start 1N-2-2?  That is, do you want to duplicate their invitation/force choice even though you may have a tad more information?  (Let's assume we consider ourselves to be as good as the field and we're not going out of our way to create anti-field swings or the like, the weak notrump not withstanding.)

Hi,

unless you always open NT with 12HCP and
a 5422 shape, I doubt that the raise to 2H
promises at least 15.
And for that matter, I doubt opener will only
bid 2H, if he happens to hold 17HCP with a
4333 shape, he surely will bid 3H.

So the raise showes roughly an min. opener
12-15/16, as in SAYC, you just have excluded
the bal. 12-14 counts.

So you should certainly only invite, nothing
more, nothing less, although you could even make
a case for passing using the LTC logic, because
chances that game will make, will be remote,
it may or may not be worth a try playing MP,
depends what an unbal. min. opener looks like,
will he always have 12HCP, or is 11 possible with
a 5431 shape?

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#17 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 12:26

han, on Oct 7 2008, 09:52 AM, said:

After 1D-1H-2H I would definitely invite since more sensible invites are possible.

Or do you mean its more sensible to invite?

We are well ahead of the field at this point because of system. If pard has the balanced 15-17 NT type, surely we know a little more about pard's hand than the field. Of course, so do the opponents.

Where the big gain comes is when pard isn't 15-17 balanced. The auction will start the same way at other tables, but our hand has an auto pass over 2 since pard will frequently have a weak NT. So we know pard is unbalanced if pard is less than 15. The problem I have is that pard's most likely shortness is spades, which is bad news for us.

Still, I don't know pard's hand type so I will keep this one out of the hazard for now and just invite.
"Phil" on BBO
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#18 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 12:36

P_Marlowe, on Oct 7 2008, 01:17 PM, said:

unless you always open NT with 12HCP and
a 5422 shape, I doubt that the raise to 2H
promises at least 15.
And for that matter, I doubt opener will only
bid 2H, if he happens to hold 17HCP with a
4333 shape, he surely will bid 3H.

Doubt all you want, but I would surely not raise to 3H with 4333 and 17 HCP (even considering that we would open that 1C, not 1D).

As for the 12 HCP 2452, I would not open 1D if the hand did not evaluate to 15+ in support of responder's hearts. (I think that within the KS framework we're dealing with, the options would be Pass, 1H and 1N if the hand was not good enough to raise 1H to 2H.)
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#19 User is offline   NickRW 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 15:30

TimG, on Oct 7 2008, 05:02 PM, said:

Thanks for all the responses.

Recall that the hand is QJT5 KQ43 J94 75.  We were playing weak NTs at the time, so the auction we had actually started 1-1-2, where 2 shows 15-17 balanced with 4 hearts (or an unbalanced equivalent).


I don't think that sequence shows 15-17 bal or equivalent. What is partner to bid with a 12hcp 1-4-5-3 shape, for example. I admit partner is likely to have something extra in terms of stength or be unbal.

Quote

1) Is the semi-fit in diamonds enough to tip the scales in favor of a game bid rather than an invite?  (Yes, partner could be 4=4=3=2, but we open 1 with 33 in the minors.)


The semi fit is a help for sure. However the acelessness and full of quackness of the hand is a negative feature.

Quote

2) In a MP event, does it matter to you that many pairs will start 1N-2-2?  That is, do you want to duplicate their invitation/force choice even though you may have a tad more information?  (Let's assume we consider ourselves to be as good as the field and we're not going out of our way to create anti-field swings or the like, the weak notrump not withstanding.)


I wouldn't worry too much about the field here - if you're playing, say, weak NT in a generally strong NT field (or any other major departure from the field) then you're going to find yourself in some auctions that won't generally be repeated around the room. That being the case you have to back your judgement and hope you're right more often than the field. If this sort of thing concerns you, don't do an anti field thing like picking a different NT range in the first place! (I will say that I have a system that is moderately anti field to where I normally play - and you get some wins and some losses - but overall I haven't found it to be a bad thing)

Nick
"Pass is your friend" - my brother in law - who likes to bid a lot.
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#20 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 18:48

NickRW, on Oct 7 2008, 04:30 PM, said:

I don't think that sequence shows 15-17 bal or equivalent. What is partner to bid with a 12hcp 1-4-5-3 shape, for example. I admit partner is likely to have something extra in terms of stength or be unbal.

From the KS summary provided at the Bridge World site:

"Usually 15-17, 4-card fit. Could be unbalanced equivalent. Rarely, 3-card support, too concentrated for 1 NT rebid: AQx xx xxx AKQxx."

If the 1=4=5=3 12 HCP hand does not qualify as 15-17 in support of hearts, it is probably right not to open (in the context of KS).
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