pclayton, on Sep 23 2008, 09:44 AM, said:
dburn, on Sep 23 2008, 04:56 AM, said:
If you believe partner has a minor-suit void, you should probably lead a club. Over the years I have been involved in several deals on which it was right to lead your second-longest side suit following a Lightner double, but it was not until recently that the reason for this dawned on me: your second-longest side suit was more likely to be the opponent's solid suit.
With RHO cuebidding clubs twice, I doubt LHO has the suit.
Phil, you misread the auction: the second club bid by rho was in response to GSF.
I lead a club but my reasoning for doing so is far different from anything I have read so far... I simply don't expect LHO to have a solid suit at all.
I find this hand very interesting, and only hope that I am not digging too deeply in my efforts to construct hands consistent with the auction. We have a LOT of clues.
LHO must hold a spade void, the diamond Ace and a heart honour, almost certainly the Queen. He also expects that his long minor will be a source of tricks in grand. Partner holds the heart A.. he couldn't double with the King, since it would be finessed, and the auction tells him that one ruff won't beat the contract.
So RHO overcalled on a K high suit, and therefore must have 6 of them... if LHO has 4, partner has Ax and declarer Kxxxxx.
Partner opened a non-preempt with a highly distributional hand so we have to assume he has at least minimum opening strength. Overcaller bid 2
♥ on a weak suit, so has to have some strength as well.
All of this seems to make it very unlikely that LHO has 10 hcp in the minors... thus he doesn't hold AKQJxx in diamonds or the diamond A and KQJxxx in clubs.
So he has a suit that is weaker but that he expects will still be a source of tricks. It can't be diamonds, because he has not heard of any help from partner in that suit. But he has heard of the club A.
Consider this hand: void Qxxx Ax Kxxxxxx on the auction. It may well be a 5 or 7 hand after the club cue... opposite xxx AKxxx xxx Ax, and partner rates to hold better than this.. this is a heck of a good grand.
So I think that a club lead is a stand-out.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
1♠ 2♥ 2♠ 4♠
P 5♣ P 5NT
P 6♣ P 6♥
Dbl