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6NT lead!

#1 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 05:26

In a high profile game versus BBO randoms whose bidding has been erratic, you need to lead against 6NT.

K752
42
T973
Q54

Oh and the auction was:

1♦-2♣
2♥-2♠
3NT-6NT

everything was natural.
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#2 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 06:39

Small diamond I guess.

View Postwyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the ♥3.


View Postrbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#3 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 06:44

Small spade
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#4 User is offline   ASkolnick 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 07:52

I am leading a top heart.
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#5 User is offline   ochinko 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 08:29

♠2
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#6 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 08:37

♦3
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#7 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 10:21

spade
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#8 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 10:25

Is there some sort of thinking process here (or at least process of elimination)? If there is I would be delighted to hear the reasons also.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#9 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 10:34

gwnn, on Sep 17 2008, 08:25 AM, said:

Is there some sort of thinking process here (or at least process of elimination)? If there is I would be delighted to hear the reasons also.

Small spade.

You normally make aggressive leads against small slams, although lesser so for 6N's. Our clubs look very vulnerable here with the suit bid on our left so thats even more of a reason. Our best chance for a set is to hit pard with a ♣J / ♠Q combo, or maybe the ♠A.
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#10 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-September-17, 11:16

Diamond vs randoms. I'll just make a passive lead and watch them go down.
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#11 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-September-18, 02:44

♣, ♥, ♦= -1020
♠=+50

Dummy had a 3316 18 count and we have to cash AK of spades.
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#12 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-September-18, 10:41

gwnn, on Sep 17 2008, 11:25 AM, said:

Is there some sort of thinking process here (or at least process of elimination)? If there is I would be delighted to hear the reasons also.

What Phil said (more or less). Buttressed by the inferences that:

1. Whatever spade values the opps had are more likely to be on our left than on our right, or split... thus there is a reasonable chance that the lead, if not itself successful, isn't giving declarer anything he can't get himself.. this inference arises both from the spade bid and from the fact that LHO has a much bigger hand than declarer

2. If partner can't help us in spades, the spade K may not become a trick, and now we need to get 2 tricks outside of spades, and I sure don't like our chances. So, since we are assuming we can beat this, it seems best to lead the suit where we almost NEED help.. assume the help is there.

None of this makes the spade more than the percentage choice, and percentage choices are often ineffective on a given hand, but they represent the best shot.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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