Posted 2008-July-29, 15:41
I wouldn't be faced with this problem, as I would bid 5♠. Both sides could be making 11 tricks on this hand. I have 3 hearts and the opponents rate to have 8 or 9 of them, so partner is short. My doubleton club is a worry, as partner might have 2 losers there. But we should not have more than one loser in the pointed suits, and we may have none.
It would not be unreasonable for partner to hold:
AQxxxx
x
Axxxx
x
in which case we make and they might also make.
The defensive problem is tough. I like the ♠J suggested by kfay. It is unlikely that we have 2 cashing spades, and if partner does not have the ♦A I don't see any realistic hope for the defense. Furthermore, if partner does not have the ♦A he must have the ♣A or a trump trick, so the second spade trick (if there is one) is not likely to go away.