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diamondsssssssss

#1 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-July-12, 00:39

Matchpoints, All White, Third Seat

void KJx AJ9x AJT98x

3 - (4) - ?

If you bid 5, RHO will back in with 5. Now what?

Partner's preempting style is on the aggressive side of normal.
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#2 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-July-12, 01:08

I would bid 6D, for starters it might make, and secondly I would expect down 3 to be a rare occurance so it will almost always be a good save if they can make. I expect that we can beat them a fair amount of the time, but not often enough to make me give up on a good save (and possible make).
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#3 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-July-12, 18:17

6. If they guess to bid 6 over that, I'll guess that they're wrong.

You have to bid 6 on this hand, to protect you on the occasions when you bid it on a hand without any defence.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#4 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-July-12, 18:22

gnasher, on Jul 12 2008, 05:17 PM, said:

You have to bid 6 on this hand, to protect you on the occasions when you bid it on a hand without any defence.

If I am understanding it correctly, you are saying that I need to bid 6 occasionally with the intent to make, so that my 6 is not always purely sacrificing?

I really disagree. First of all, whenever I have no intent to make, I am betting that it will be clear to at least one of my opponents that 6 is a sacrifice. Second of all, I don't think I play against any particular pair enough that I should be concerned about what they think my 6 is. I'm not too worried about developing a worldwide reputation for being a reckless 6m preempt bidder.
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#5 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-July-12, 20:23

gnasher, on Jul 12 2008, 07:17 PM, said:

You have to bid 6 on this hand, to protect you on the occasions when you bid it on a hand without any defence.

This is wrong. You should make whatever bid will maximize your expectancy on the current hand and should not worry about balancing your ranges. Playing an exploitable style does not mean that others know you are playing an exploitable style, or that they will exploit it. You would have a point if you played tens of thousands of hands against the same people and they were smart enough to pick up on your tendencies, but even in that case you could bid whatever way was optimal on the current hand and then adjust your strategy later to counter them adjusting to you.
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