Balance decision at MPs
#1
Posted 2008-May-25, 11:11
♠ AK6
♥ J93
♦ KT
♣ AT765
Pard RHO you LHO
pass 1♥ .. 1NT 2♥
pass pass ??
Lack of stopper doesn't seem to have comprimised this time. Now, do you feel you have you told your story or are you unwilling to sell out cheaply and try 3♣?
Note: pard's double of 2♥ would have been for take out.
#2
Posted 2008-May-25, 11:21
We are all connected to each other biologically, to the Earth chemically, and to the rest of the universe atomically.
We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
#3
Posted 2008-May-25, 11:24
#4
Posted 2008-May-25, 11:30
I've told my story, and bidding 3♣ may go for 200 to 800. It also may push the opps to 3♥ which may go -1 noting PD should have a few HCP here.
However, it is much to risky to bid with this hand, IMHO
I don't care to try 2♠ either and if I double and PD bids 3♦ I suspect he'll have 5 of them, but...ouch.
PASS clearly for me.
#5
Posted 2008-May-25, 11:54
- hrothgar
#6
Posted 2008-May-25, 11:55
Given that p holds at most 2 hearts and did not
make a t/o means he is dead.
We are red vs green?
If not, i.e. we are green, and if you are sure, they dont
X you, go ahead, but I would say, I told my story.
With kind regards
Marlowe
PS: You have at best 15 mediocrite HCP, and mediocrite
is open for discussion.
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#8
Posted 2008-May-25, 12:30
#9
Posted 2008-May-25, 15:17
By the way, if you make a balancing double, pard has a scrambling 2NT with 44 minors available, so he won't just shoot at 3♦ if his diamonds are better than his clubs.
#10
Posted 2008-May-25, 17:02
I pass this time, but I hope partner had a negative double available.
-P.J. Painter.
#11
Posted 2008-May-25, 17:03
I pass this time, but I hope partner had a negative double available.
Actually, the more I think...
If partner did have a negative double available, I think he is 2-2 in the majors.
Change my vote -- 3♣ for me.
Unl;ess he did not have a negative double...
Did he have that oiption???
-P.J. Painter.
#12 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-May-25, 19:09
kenrexford, on May 25 2008, 06:03 PM, said:
If partner did have a negative double available, I think he is 2-2 in the majors.
Change my vote -- 3♣ for me.
Lol, you make it sound like partner would always make a negative double. What if he just has a crappy hand and you are vulnerable so he chose to pass?
Seriously bidding anything vulnerable at MP is batshit crazy.
#13
Posted 2008-May-25, 22:35
#14
Posted 2008-May-25, 23:38
kenrexford, on May 25 2008, 06:03 PM, said:
I pass this time, but I hope partner had a negative double available.
Actually, the more I think...
If partner did have a negative double available, I think he is 2-2 in the majors.
Change my vote -- 3♣ for me.
Unl;ess he did not have a negative double...
Did he have that oiption???
Did the opponents have the option of 2♣ = heart support and spades? If they did, then partner won't be 2-2 in the majors.
--Always remember you're unique. Just like everyone else.
#15
Posted 2008-May-26, 01:15
-P.J. Painter.
#16
Posted 2008-May-26, 04:40
The reason I'm posting this is pard may not want to double 2♥ for take out if he has a mere 4-5 HCP (quite likely), even despite his heart shortness, because he might feel he's either too weak or has no 4-card spade. In that case you might want to try and bid 3♣ yourself to cater for that possibility.
In the actual hand both 2♥ and 3♣ will usually make, so it would be good to bid. Of course, you probably wouldn't want to bid it red at IMPs, but at matchpoints I thought there might be a case for 3♣. Well, not for most, at least.
#17
Posted 2008-May-26, 14:12
-P.J. Painter.
#18
Posted 2008-May-26, 14:16
1. Pard has a smattering of points since the opps aren't in, or invited game. 3-5 by my guess.
2. Pard would have bid 2♠ with 5. Pard might have neg x'd with 4, but thats not certain.
3. Pard has a maximum of 2 hearts.
4. Pard doesn't have 6 diamonds.
I'd say the most likely patterns for pard are 3=2=4=4, 3=1=(45), 4=1=(44 or 35). The worst we can expect is 4=2=(34).
3♣ is a logical move. It will rarely be down 2 and someone has to dbl it and beat it for it to be really wrong. Defending 2♥ looks like a 30% board at best. Why are we just rolling over here?
#19 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-May-26, 14:47
pclayton, on May 26 2008, 03:16 PM, said:
1. Pard has a smattering of points since the opps aren't in, or invited game. 3-5 by my guess.
2. Pard would have bid 2♠ with 5. Pard might have neg x'd with 4, but thats not certain.
3. Pard has a maximum of 2 hearts.
4. Pard doesn't have 6 diamonds.
I'd say the most likely patterns for pard are 3=2=4=4, 3=1=(45), 4=1=(44 or 35). The worst we can expect is 4=2=(34).
3♣ is a logical move. It will rarely be down 2 and someone has to dbl it and beat it for it to be really wrong. Defending 2♥ looks like a 30% board at best. Why are we just rolling over here?
Why would you not expect to go down 2? You have a piece of crap and if you don't catch 4 card support you could easily go down 2 since you also have a bunch of losers and a terrible suit.
Why would you not expect to get Xed? This is a simple auction to X since you guys are almost for sure out of line. And if they use reasoning like yours they are getting a bad board when you have bid 3C anyways.. etc etc. You are really underestimating the chances that a competent LHO just cracks you with a balanced 8 count when you bid this way, let alone trumps not breaking well.
Why would you expect partner to have 4 clubs? He doesn't even have to have 3 clubs (4252). You act like partner is routinely making negative Xs with 42?? and 2+ points, it's just not happening. He can very easily have 4 spades which is not a good thing for bidding 3C vul.
Why does partner have to have 3 points? He could easily just have 1 point or 2 points. The opps don't have to try for game at MP when you have overcalled 1N and they don't even have 25 HCP.
And lastly, WHY DO YOU THINK YOU'RE GETTING 30 % FOR DEFENDING 2H???? That is a completely arbitrary evaluation. I don't know about you but I expect to get well above average in general for defending a completely normal contract. I think I defend well. I don't see how 1N then 3C can be a standard sequence of bidding since it is utterly terrible. Even if 3C makes I bet I will usually get an above average score when I defend 2H, and I don't expect it to usually make. Bidding is a crapshoot and jeopardizes and ABOVE average expected score, not a below average one.
#20
Posted 2008-May-26, 17:20
Jlall, on May 26 2008, 12:47 PM, said:
pclayton, on May 26 2008, 03:16 PM, said:
1. Pard has a smattering of points since the opps aren't in, or invited game. 3-5 by my guess.
2. Pard would have bid 2♠ with 5. Pard might have neg x'd with 4, but thats not certain.
3. Pard has a maximum of 2 hearts.
4. Pard doesn't have 6 diamonds.
I'd say the most likely patterns for pard are 3=2=4=4, 3=1=(45), 4=1=(44 or 35). The worst we can expect is 4=2=(34).
3♣ is a logical move. It will rarely be down 2 and someone has to dbl it and beat it for it to be really wrong. Defending 2♥ looks like a 30% board at best. Why are we just rolling over here?
Why would you not expect to go down 2? You have a piece of crap and if you don't catch 4 card support you could easily go down 2 since you also have a bunch of losers and a terrible suit.
Why would you not expect to get Xed? This is a simple auction to X since you guys are almost for sure out of line. And if they use reasoning like yours they are getting a bad board when you have bid 3C anyways.. etc etc. You are really underestimating the chances that a competent LHO just cracks you with a balanced 8 count when you bid this way, let alone trumps not breaking well.
Why would you expect partner to have 4 clubs? He doesn't even have to have 3 clubs (4252). You act like partner is routinely making negative Xs with 42?? and 2+ points, it's just not happening. He can very easily have 4 spades which is not a good thing for bidding 3C vul.
Why does partner have to have 3 points? He could easily just have 1 point or 2 points. The opps don't have to try for game at MP when you have overcalled 1N and they don't even have 25 HCP.
And lastly, WHY DO YOU THINK YOU'RE GETTING 30 % FOR DEFENDING 2H???? That is a completely arbitrary evaluation. I don't know about you but I expect to get well above average in general for defending a completely normal contract. I think I defend well. I don't see how 1N then 3C can be a standard sequence of bidding since it is utterly terrible. Even if 3C makes I bet I will usually get an above average score when I defend 2H, and I don't expect it to usually make. Bidding is a crapshoot and jeopardizes and ABOVE average expected score, not a below average one.
I get soooo tired of answering posts like this. You go completely overboard on your views and have to get personal. You make statements like he doesn't have to have 3 points, when he could have 5, and he doesn't have to have 3 clubs, when he might have 4, or may have a singleton heart. We don't know wtf partner has, but we know the opponents have a good fit, and that when they have a fit, we usually have a fit.
Do you honestly think that everyone is overcalling 1N on our hand? I think plenty are overcalling 2♣ or even passing. Those that overcall 2♣ might be getting a raise here and they are in a lot better spot than us. And somehow we are in a plus position for defending a normal contract! Amazing stuff. The opponents have found an eight card major fit. And you expect to beat 2♥? With what, your good looks?
I expect a long response and things like I'm hopeless, etc.. You might be right, but frankly I'm more interested in your reasoning than your attitude.

Help

Pass 1♥ . 1NT 2♥
Pass pass ??