This hand prompted me to think about when to break the Lebensohl 2NT to 3
♣ transfer. After a take out double of a weak 2, I believe it is standard to play Lebensohl 0-7 unless you intend not to pass the 3
♣ transfer in order to show a different type of hand. Thus if you take a weak 2 to be 5-9 (normal over here) then on average it has 7 points. This seems to mean that if you make a take out double on 18 points, then on average there are 15 points remaining, so partner will, as often as not, have 7 points, (not sure how much the probability is skewed when partner cannot have more than 7 points but opponent can.... any comments from mathematicians?) so you should break the 3
♣ transfer and go for game. If you have 18+ points and no stop you can bid 3 of opps major asking for a stop and if you have a stop you can bid 3NT. Any comments so far?
North opened 2
♠ and after 2 passes west doubled, east (me) bid 2NT and partner who was aware that this was Lebensohl bid 3NT. The contract was made easily. My analysis suggests that West was right to double for take out rather than overcall 2
♥ and having 18 points was right to break the transfer to 3
♣. 3NT clearly looks wrong to me, but what should he bid? 3
♥ or 3
♠. Does 3
♥ suggest a self supporting suit or is it good enough? Also does my analysis stand up for a take-out double in 4th seat? Comments welcome.