The_Hog, on Mar 3 2004, 08:01 PM, said:
A comment on the bidding - South is a nutter. If I were Nth I would want a new partner. Very quickly, take 2 C hooks, drawing 2 rounds of trumps in the process, then ruff a C and take the H hook. Hope this was the last hand in the event as you would need to find a new partner after this.
Well, the bidding wasn't very good, but taking 3 different hooks (two in clubs and one in hearts) simply can't be the right line (see below). And ruffing two clubs is not a safe line.
First thing you should do is thank partner is the happiest voice you can find. The thought of ducking a
♦ for some exotic squeeze seems useless to me (although I have seen the moon squeezes in adventures in card play, and endplaying some one seems like a possibility, to endplay someone after you duck a trick is obviously down).
If you play for double hook in clubs to work, you can easily make by giving a
♥. That is win
♦ lead
♣9 to say J, Q. Cash
♠KQ,
♥A, and exit
♥J. You will win 3
♣6
♠2
♥and 1
♦ with out ever ruffing anything.
So the double hook in
♣ is one line, odds of success about 23.8%.
Another line is to hook the
♥ immediately. If that loses back comes another
♦, which you ruff. Now you are in a bad spot. You have to either rely upon double hook in
♣ (and you could have done that to begin with with better odds), or that you can safely ruff two clubs in dummy (This will require EAST with Kxxx, or with Kxxx and JT or JTx of spades), or Kxx without
♠x or
♠xx. However if the if the
♥ hook wins you are slightly better off. Now a
♠ to A, and hook
♣Q, if that wins too, you can play
♠K and then
♣A... if EAST drops the king, you can pull last trump and give
♣ to J.. and if EAST retains high
♣, you can safely lead a
♣ to ruff in dummy. So both
♣ Kings being onside is roughly 25%, plus there is some play if the
♥hook loses (you get one
♣ pitch on the
♥Q, so only one ruff needed.
All in all, I think I win the
♦ lead and hook a
♥. If that wins, I cross
♠A and hook
♣Q.. playing for one
♣ ruff... dropping JACK if I hook looses.
After the session is over, I will invite my partner out for a beer and while in the comfortable setting of a friendly bar, try to explain the basics of bidding to him in a non-hostile environment....