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Lead Problem Junior Whitehouse Tourney

#1 User is offline   MickyB 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 10:23

Scoring: IMP


1-P-2-X
4-AP

Your lead.


Edit: For anyone who knows the hand, yes, I have got the minors the wrong way round - I'll leave it like that now.

This post has been edited by MickyB: 2008-March-12, 10:34

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#2 User is offline   keylime 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 10:29

I feel if I'm leading my club that I'm making a mistake, but that's my lead.
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
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#3 User is offline   mikegill 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 10:31


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#4 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 11:30

I'm leading my stiff.

It seems the simplest way to take four tricks is to find pard with an entry, and either take 2 hearts (yes the hand is probably always getting beat in this case) another trick and a ruff, or 2 tricks in pard's hand and two ruffs.

A tap could be right, but it seems to me that its likely they are on a 6-3 or a 5-4 fit. Furthermore, leading the A could very well blow a trick. A low heart could be right as well, but thats pretty deep.

What about a diamond? This could also be right, but pard needs a very specific diamond holding for me to have to lead it on the go.
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#5 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 11:44

Any suit could be right, goodness knows.
NO-one has mentioned a trump yet, but we have a surprisingn umber of high cards for the auction and a trump could easily be the winning lead. I'm nearly persuading myself of this, though I doubt I'd manage it at the table.
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#6 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 11:46

FrancesHinden, on Mar 12 2008, 11:44 AM, said:

Any suit could be right, goodness knows.
NO-one has mentioned a trump yet, but we have a surprisingn umber of high cards for the auction and a trump could easily be the winning lead. I'm nearly persuading myself of this, though I doubt I'd manage it at the table.

Given that partner is likely to have entries, leading the stiff club might force declarer to draw trumps himself...
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#7 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-March-12, 12:01

No one loves leading a stiff more than me, and I see no reason not to on this one.
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#8 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 12:03

The stiff for me, I remember too many hands where something persuaded me from leading my stiff and the stiff would have been the only lead to set the contract.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#9 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 12:18

stiff
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#10 User is online   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 12:50

I agree with the stiff...anyone consider bidding 5? I doubt that I would (too much risk of a phantom) but it isn't hard to construct a hand on which 5 makes... void KQxx AQJxx xxxx might even make a slam :)
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#11 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-March-12, 12:58

mikeh, on Mar 12 2008, 02:50 PM, said:

I agree with the stiff...anyone consider bidding 5? I doubt that I would (too much risk of a phantom) but it isn't hard to construct a hand on which 5 makes... void KQxx AQJxx xxxx might even make a slam :)

I'd be too worried about a phantom
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