Strange sequence lead
#1
Posted 2008-February-03, 12:29
LHO doubles, and partner makes a standard XX. RHO bid 4♥, which is passed out.
The complete auction:
1♠-X-XX-4♥-
P-P-P
Your lead? Reasons welcome.
-P.J. Painter.
#2
Posted 2008-February-03, 12:39
- hrothgar
#3 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-February-03, 12:40
#5
Posted 2008-February-03, 14:41
but was p joking with the xx? how come there's no X of 4♥?
#6
Posted 2008-February-03, 16:16
matmat, on Feb 3 2008, 03:41 PM, said:
I see no reason to think that partner was joking. Is it not poosible that partner has some balanced 11-count that isn't sure whether 4H will be beaten? Pass is not forcing for me.
- hrothgar
#7
Posted 2008-February-03, 17:26
#8
Posted 2008-February-04, 06:47
I was provided this problem and knee-jerked a lead. After more thought, suggested by a "WTF?!?!?" response, it seemed that there were two legitimate options.
My first choice and the two re-think choices get no or almost no votes.
The two re-think options would have set the contract, but not so much the "stand out" leads, per answers so far.
-P.J. Painter.
#9
Posted 2008-February-04, 07:01
second choice is the ace of spades playing for spade (over)-ruffs, but with no sure re-entry that is is bit deep.
#10
Posted 2008-February-04, 08:26
-P.J. Painter.
#11 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-February-04, 08:35
kenrexford, on Feb 4 2008, 09:26 AM, said:
No because I think a heart is the most likely lead to beat them.
#12
Posted 2008-February-04, 09:28
What are my spade spots? If I have AQ432, I'd certainly not lead a trump. Righty often has 4+ spades also, so a trump lead is pointless if I don't have good spades to protect.
#13
Posted 2008-February-04, 15:16
The actual layout was such that the opponents had ten red tricks coming to them if the defense did not immediately take four black tricks.
This seems like a reasonably likely scenario, in light of the sequence. Did those who elected a heart lead consider and reject this as less likely, I assume, than the need to cut down spade ruffs?
-P.J. Painter.
#14
Posted 2008-February-04, 15:24
kenrexford, on Feb 4 2008, 04:16 PM, said:
Yep, see my post.
- hrothgar

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