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Just one bidding problem competitive bidding

#1 User is offline   jahol 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 05:52

What do you bid with the following hand (both vulnerable, IMPs)

J---J10---AK86---AJ10952

after

4S-pass-pass-??? ?
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#2 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 05:56

a simple 5 clubs.
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#3 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 05:59

Hi,

5C

I wont pass, although you may convince me,
that it is best, I wont double, I wont bid
4NT. What is left?

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#4 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 06:02

5
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 08:59

4NT for meeeeee.
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#6 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 10:30

5C should play well facing a doubleton. So only when partner has 4/5 D and a stiff C 4Nt will turn out better then 5C. The 3D 2C & 4D/3C are more likely.
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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#7 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-January-08, 10:59

hate everything but X
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#8 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 11:06

if pd has the usual 4333 junk in context (4-4-3-2, 3-5-3-2, etc) and 9-10 hcp, 4x rates to be much much better than 5(x). So x seems better.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#9 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 11:22

This club suit says defend to me. I would bid 5 with x J10 Axxx AKJ10xx or x J AKxx AJ10xxxx.
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#10 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 11:24

Gotta x.

Good thing we don't have 7 clubs, otherwise someone would call me a retard.
"Phil" on BBO
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#11 User is offline   nick_s 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 11:42

I wouldn't bid 4NT since I play this as takeout for all 3 suits - particularly hearts. I thought this was the standard treatment over 4. Am I wrong about this?

I would double.
Not an expert, just a student of the game
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#12 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 12:32

The question for me here is whether or not we can make 4m because we're definitely not making 4. If I'm going to bid I bid 4NT but I would never double because I think it's a fairly good bet partner will bid 5.

I pass.

Edit: After looking at the posts I have to ask: is X for penalty and 4NT as general takeout standard? I know I've heard that many times before but I don't really know the answer. If it is penalty oriente- I'll X... and hope it works out.
Kevin Fay
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#13 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 13:44

The standard meaning is that X is "cards." Often this shows something like a strong notrump. Partner is expected to leave it in with a balanced hand, and to pull with a lot of shape (typically a six-card suit or a 5-5 distribution). The double doesn't imply any trump strength; in fact it is supposed to be convertible values and with a hand including 4 defensive tricks but worthless on offense (i.e. KQJT Axx xxx xxx) you're supposed to pass. On the other hand, partner is supposed to leave the double in with a balanced hand, so there should be some expectation to set the contract.
Adam W. Meyerson
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#14 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 13:56

To add to Adam's post: The standard meaning of 4N (in North America) is a 2-suited takeout. With 0544 you have to pass or double.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#15 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 13:56

I think double is right here.

If partner has a lot of shape, he's going to pull our double anyway. Most likely we will find the best spot in this case (hearts if partner has six, partner's minor if he's 5-5). So the interesting case is when partner has a balanced hand. If we give partner:

xxx
xxxx
xxx
xxx

We can see that 4 is cold, probably ten tricks or occasionally eleven. In five clubs, we will take eight tricks much of the time (5 clubs, 3 diamonds) although seven is a strong possibility given likely bad breaks in the minors.

So it looks like in this case there are 18 "total tricks" which is what you'd expect if you believe in LOTT (9 trumps each way). If we start adding high cards to partner's hand, a few of them may increase the number of total tricks (Q) and a few may decrease it (K) but in many cases it will stay about the same. So it seems like there are probably 18 total tricks opposite a balanced partner, with some possibility of 17 or 19. In this case when 5 makes, 4 will go down at least two if not three. It is quite possible that both 4 and 5 are failing, and virtually impossible that both make. If 4X makes opposite a balanced partner, then 5X was probably not a good sacrifice (down at least two, often three).
Adam W. Meyerson
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#16 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 15:21

Amazing how often double or cuebid comes up on these tough bidding hands.
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#17 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 15:44

I think the chance partner pull the double are close to nil. and if he does its going to be 5H. I understand that X or pass is more likely to work then 5C but for the IMPs scale 5C seems like a safety bid. I think there is at least 19 tricks on that deal. Facing agressive opps i would X.
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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#18 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-January-08, 18:26

awm, on Jan 8 2008, 08:44 PM, said:

The standard meaning is that X is "cards."

In BWS, "A double of an opening through four spades is for takeout."

This is the sort of area where I'd expect BWS to reflect mainstream North American opinion. Does it not?
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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