Posted 2008-January-08, 03:44
I don't think Drake's equation and the Fermi paradox qualify as science. It's just armchair "science". To say something scientific about the issue of life on other planets, we need lots of data.
If they find chlorophyll in the spectrum of an exoplanet, it would be quite fascinating, but what would it teach us? Even if chlorophyll was found on a million planets in the galaxy, intelligent life could still be rare. Even if intelligent life is common, inter-stelar travel could be impossible. Or maybe we are bound to be the first because the first civilization will colonize the entire Galaxy, preventing other civilizations from arising ... or ... or ... or ...
I'm not sure we will ever get enough data to solve the Fermi paradox, or rather, to find out if there is a paradox at all. In the meantime, the Fermi paradox is fun for SF authors, but scientists will have enough of a challenge to identify the conditions required for single-celled organisms to emerge. Intelligent ETs are not high on the agenda, I think.
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket