pclayton, on Nov 16 2007, 10:59 AM, said:
dburn, on Nov 16 2007, 02:54 AM, said:
Not sure about all this. Why has West led dummy's suit? I'm going to draw trumps ending in hand and play a second heart. If West follows, I will finesse the jack. If not, I will play East for the singleton ace of spades.
This is how I started.
RHO pitches 2 more
♦'s on the trump. When you play a heart up. LHO ditches a diamond and sloughs another diamond when you ruff a heart to hand.
It doesn't make sense to me to play RHO for the
♠A stiff. This means LHO passed over 1
♣ with
♠QTxxxx and a singleton. Perhaps this is possible because evidently these opponents are gun-shy about bidding since they couldn't crawl past the 2 level with their 10 diamonds at green, so perhaps this is possible.
Anyway, when you play a spade up, LHO flies with the Ace and plays a diamond.
It may not make sense to you to play RHO for the singleton
♠A, but if he does not have it, then West has failed to raise 2
♦ to 3
♦ with
♠A, a singleton heart, and four-card (at least) diamond support. To me, that is at least as remarkable as the seeming impossibility (to you) that someone would fail to overcall on a two count.
Still, I would not have been confident enough of my analysis to lead a low spade from dummy at trick six. Like you, I would have crossed to hand with a heart ruff and led a low spade. West, who does not know that he could have beaten me by playing any spade apart from the ace (I would have ducked the queen) has played the ace, and now I need to consider whether his actions are more consistent with
♠Axxxx
♥x
♦xxxx
♣xxx or with the same hand with the queen of spades instead of a low card.
Since it is hard to draw any conclusions from the antics of this particular West, I will go with the a priori odds - West has four non-ace spades and East two, so I will play West for the queen. But whoever mocked you for setting this problem had a point: it does not make a whole lot of sense to ask how one would play a hand when the opponents have clearly acted irrationally at almost every turn.