Simulations how do you start one going?
#1
Posted 2007-October-13, 08:34
I've seen simulations being talked about in quite a number of posts. So my question is, how do you guys usually set one up, what programs do you use etc.
Wanted to test a specific hand, but so far I haven't found any good ways of doing so. Tried using Richard Pavlicek's Deal Finder, but problem is I still have to sift through the double dummy analysis myself....
Thanks.
Unless explicitly stated, none of my views here can be taken to represent SCBA or any other organizations.
#2
Posted 2007-October-13, 09:52
Bo Haglund recently released a freeware deal simulator based on his double dummy DLL & Thomas Andrew's Deal program. I think if starting I'd probably use this one since it doesn't require a GIB copy.
#3
Posted 2007-October-13, 10:14
#4
Posted 2007-October-13, 10:23
#5
Posted 2007-October-13, 11:24
Stephen Tu, on Oct 13 2007, 05:52 PM, said:
Great, that was what I was looking for!
It is available for Mac and Windows. I just managed to get it running on Linux. You need to do the following:
- Make sure that python-dev and python-distutils-extra are installed
- Qualify the paths for the header files referred in pydds.c
- Run python setup.py install
mikeh said:
I once saw an article in Bridge World about when to bid 3N in spite of a 5-3 fit in a major, based on a single dummy analysis (using GIB). In that article, influence from the bidding on the opening lead and defense was not accounted for, according to the author (I don't quite understand that, GIB will always use inference from the auction when defending, won't it?). Anyway I suppose that could be taken into account as well.
#6
Posted 2007-October-13, 17:52
helene_t, on Oct 14 2007, 12:14 AM, said:
How do you use R to do that? (Maybe I should learn since I am starting university next year!)
mikeh: I agree that DD doesn't take in a lot of factors...but just wanted to get a general idea of where the deal is heading...
Unless explicitly stated, none of my views here can be taken to represent SCBA or any other organizations.
#7
Posted 2007-October-13, 18:36
It does the following
A] You can enter one or more exact hands.
You can specify up to 20 "screens" of constraints of rthe other hands such as
North:
1. Not 15-17 balanced
AND
2. not 20-21 Balanced
AND
3. Less than 22 HCP + Distrubutional points* (you can define the distributional points by suit, using different valuations for each suit)
AND
4. at least 13 HCP+Distributional points
South
1. Balanced
AND
2. 8-10 HCP
AND
3. No 4 card major
b] You enter the # of simulations
You can inspect each one and reject any if you like
3] Double Dummy Analyzer - Deep Finesse (this is included for free)
Enter the contrscat you are interested in, such as NT by S, or 2♠♥♦♣ by East (whatever)
It will tell you the results for each contract
Ex:
1NT S -2 5%, -1 10%, making 43%, +1 33% +2 9%, as well as the opponents suit contract
You can inspect those deals that interest you.
This lets you look at WHY did 6♠ go down? Aha, the long hearts were not very useful.
c] It also tells you the best lead against each contract
Plus a lot of other stuff.
Its VERY easy to use
Its not as powerful as a programming language like simulator like Deal 3.0 but its easier to use.
Making Marty Bergens Rule of 20 is rather complex, and is probably easier in Deal 3.0.
The owner (Ed Marzo) is a very pleasant person, and I'm quite pelased with the product.
#8
Posted 2007-October-14, 01:04
#9
Posted 2007-October-14, 02:16
Rossoneri, on Oct 14 2007, 01:52 AM, said:
helene_t, on Oct 14 2007, 12:14 AM, said:
How do you use R to do that? (Maybe I should learn since I am starting university next year!)
mikeh: I agree that DD doesn't take in a lot of factors...but just wanted to get a general idea of where the deal is heading...
You can get the script I used to fit the Bermuda Bowl Round Robin IMP results here. The assumptions I made have been discussed in this thread.
To simulate from a linear model of the form mymodel=lm(y~x):
simulated.y = rnorm(length(x),mymodel$coefficients,sd(mymodel$residuals)
This may not look very impressive but the cool thing is that the R user community has implemented just about all statistical models that repeatedly come up in scientific litterature, and the R software itself has a wide range of options for validating the models and producing graphical output.
If you have access to MATLAB software at the university it will probably be better suited for bridge-related (and other) simulation tasks.
#10
Posted 2007-October-14, 03:16
Unless explicitly stated, none of my views here can be taken to represent SCBA or any other organizations.

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