Bord 7. France leading (don't remember by how much, maybe 16 to some 1 digit number). The players pick up :
West dealer, NS vulnerable
STOPPA North : K10754,KQJ105,Q10,2,
BRAMLEY East : A62,3,KJ974,K1065
STRETZ South : J8,A876,A8653,A7][/
STANSBY West :Q93,942,2,QJ9843,
The auctions are rugged due to Stansby's unexpected opening which wrong-footed a commentator who didn't think he "was modern enough for 3C opening". Indeed I've heard about Lew's prowesses since I started playing and that was a sure long time ago. But the game is tougher and tougher as is real life and to survive you've got to adapt and these guys do understand that as they closely scrutinize the evolution of the game. Our best player by far in GPE is now a senior and is currently representing Gpe in Shanghai. Can't say the guy is consevative! But this is not my topic.
So Stansby opens 3C and Stoppa thinks and produces a most unexpected bid (at least to me it was). I envisaged only 2 possibilities : 4C with both majors (but confusedly felt I didn't have enough for that bid, especially with no aces) and 3S and if given the opportunity PERHAPS 4H. Nah, Stoppa bid 3H!!!! What, why, how?
Don't we bid the hiher-ranked suit 1st anymore so we could economically fight later on if needs be? It's really become a wild world out there.
Obviously he had come to the conclusion that the hand wasn't good enough for 4C, but why H and not 3S? I was thinking hard. Well probably because he thought that the hand was not necessarily theirs (vulnerable) and that a middle of the road approach was perhaps the best way : if they play 3NT he wanted a H lead and not a S 1. Fabulous! Because he found the perfect fit down there in South. Luck, experience, good judgment, intuition? All these things are what make experts so different from the baffled expert to be, that is the average bridge player, the absolute vast majority of us playing on BBO.
Now, what we want to understand is how the expert mind works, how she/he can apparently so easily find the "best" solution when we suffer martyrdom. And we rely on commentators to try and help us there. There wasn't any comments about that particular Stoppa's choice. if I remember.
So 3C 3H 5C 5H the final contract and there the commentators did congratulate all players for their good judment.
Play starts with the C5 from Bramley. Declarer (Stoppa) wins in dummy, clears trumps finishing in dummy and obviously, as duely noted by the commentators, success hinges on hooking the SQ (with west according to the "hypothesis of necessity" concept). And there Stoppa, methinks, makes a 1st mistake, he plays the S8 finessing the 10, trying to cater for queen stiff I guess, which was definitely possible but that hypothesis created too many other problems, and it's too late for me to even try to analyse them, to be taken into consideration! And we'll see that the play of the Jack was the 1st problem solver. So the 10 loses to the Ace and Bramley returns another C ruffed by declarer who gets back to board with a trump and Sjack. There Mr Stansby says no and plays the Q U E E N. Hehehe, who's got the 9? Ruffing finesse (ruffnesse, i'm tring to have that one coined if nobody else's already got the patent
1) the 5 may come from 4 cards as the pair leads either 4th best or udca, which here coincides, I mean in french carding this 5 would come from 3 cards as leads are 3rd/5th. (And incidentally, there's one question that i've never been able to answer : how is count given on lead in the system since with 4 or 3 the smallest is led or attitude is shown with 3 small by playing the highest. Not in pure UDCA where it should be the 10 with K105. I have a very hard time when count is not clear in my suit on lead. I think the french scrupulously give count on lead in p's suit when a meaningful sequence (KQ, QJ) is not available. Understand me well, i'm not saying that the system is not viable, what i am saying is that with a hi-lo minded count it's difficult to follow track and readjusting is not easy. UDCA is not a problem as it is just the reverse of high-low). So Stansby would have just 6C. And this is where the commentator was probably right : given Stansby's generation with just 6C PERHAPS he would need a singleton!!!!! Not conservative ok, but not foolish either!
2) Does that "fine" reasoning really stand in the face of this other factor :
The C K. Extremely important. If Stansby got KQJ the pre-empt becomes again
justified and the soundness of the suit doen't make the absolute presence of a
singleton crippling anymore and if you add to all this that Stansby was simply
determined to make things very difficult for opps (the commentators did say
that too) Stoppa had a lot to deal with and Stan had done a fine job!!!
3) If SJack played instead of 8, Stanby can no longer try and fool him : either he
plays it right away or doesn't and case close. And of course when Queen
captured the same play of the S9 would be a gag that would relieve all average
kibs :"oh, them too!"
It is absolutely out of the question that commentators should go so extensively as I just have netless, they don't have the time and it is, no doubt, tough, and they're doing a fine job but in this show world it's a show and the risk is worth taking : you gotta explain if you assert and when interesting things happen kibs heavily count on them and appreciate all the more their efforts. The basic idea being : help see things differently, bust clichés, demonstrate and convince that each situation is specific due to a specific context and that the game is physical, mental and psychological... nothing is ever given and so on...
Early morning in GPE right now : 6.37. Going back to Venice Cup on bbo and then hopefully to bed. Nice day

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