Posted 2007-July-31, 06:54
The fairly "naive" approach of drawing trumps works fine if trumps are 3-2, as we have a trick to spare.
Ruff the club lead, Queen of spades.
- If the SQ is ducked, Jack of spades.
- If the SQ is taken, ruff the club return (or win whatever else is played) and cash the SJ
Either way you have 10 tricks now in various ways. One of them, as already pointed out, is to play the HQ. If they take it and force you in clubs you cross in hearts, draw the last trump and make 11. If they duck it you can, for example, draw the last trump and cash diamonds.
The real challenge is to make 10 tricks with trumps 4-1, without going off with trumps 3-2. At first sight there are still only 3 losers - 2 trumps and the ace of hearts. To hold the trump losers to 2 we need to avoid the hand with 4 trumps making 2 low trumps from diamond ruffs.
Let's see how the 'naive' approach works with 4-1 trumps
Ruff the lead.
SQ, let's say taken (we'll come back to ducked, but I think it's much the same whether the first or second spade is taken as we plan on playing two rounds).
Club ruffed.
SJ, someone blows. Oops. Now they have 2 trumps left and we have one in each hand. We can start playing diamonds, but they will ruff and force us, and we can't easily get to dummy to draw the last trump (we will need LHO to have the ace of hearts, the long trumps and only three clubs I think).
So what if we try and establish our heart entry to dummy first?
Ruff the club and play the HQ. I think life is very strange if that is ducked, but let's say for the time being it is taken and a club played back, ruffed.
Queen of spades from hand, taken.
Club back, ruffed (we've ruffed 3 times in hand now).
If we cash the SJ, and someone shows out, we are just off, even if they have only 3 clubs with the long spades. They ruff the fourth round of diamonds and play a heart, and we are stuck on dummy with a club loser.
What if we don't cash the SJ and start on diamonds? Someone ruffs and plays yet another club. We ruff high in hand, cross to the HK and cash the SK. This doesn't work either.
There's the alternative line of ruffing the club and starting on diamonds, but I worry I'm going to go off with trumps 3-2.
I think this needs more thought, but I need to do some work.