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Discussing Bidding Theory-1 Dist hands with few hcp

#81 User is offline   foo 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 07:18

mike777, on May 3 2007, 05:25 PM, said:

Here in North America it seems distributional hands with less than 13/14 hcp may often be opened at the one level as opposed to opening them with a weak(ish) two bid. I get the impression it is more common but perhaps still not standard in other parts of the world to open these with a weakish 2 bid.

Would the more expert/experienced players care to comment on the pros and cons of leaving opening one bids to stronger(hcp) hands or to reverse the discussion why opening dist hands with fewer hcp(under 14)  at the one level seems very common expert standard practice?

Wow. What a thread. Some thoughts.

1= Weak Two bids.
When Schenken invented Weak 2's, the 1st and 2nd chair requirements were
=8-12 HCP.
=You had to have a 5-6 playing tricks, especially Vul.
=Your suit had to be headed by at least 2 honors if a 6carder, 3 honors if a 5carder, and 1 high honor if a 7carder (was only allowed in a 7222)
=No side voids were allowed unless in S's IIRC.
Most importantly, Schenken was explicit that 1st and 2nd chair Weak Two's were !not! "Preemptive Two's".

The Weak Two as originally envisioned by its inventor was intended to be a descriptive bid, not a pure preempt. The concept of 2 level bids being purely preemptive is a reasonably modern fad which got its real "kick off" by Bergen in the 1980's.
"Descriptive Two Bids" have a long and illustrious history within Bridge. More so than "Preemptive Two Bids" do.


2= 1 level Opening Bids.
Regardless of how constructive or aggressive you want to be, you can't change the laws of probability nor the requirements of card play.
=3N needs enough controls to either establish or run 9 tricks.
=4M requires 7/12 of the controls or the equivalent to be odds on to make.
=5m requires 8/12 of the controls or the equivalent to be odds on to make.
=6foo requires 10/12 of the controls or the equivalent to be odds on to make.
The "or the equivalent" caters to useful stiffs and voids when "playing with a 3 suit deck".

If your constructive bidding is going to be anywhere near to successful enough ATT, your system must adequately deal with the above reality.

In practice, this means that in order to "play the odds" 1st and 2nd chair 1 bids need
=2 defensive tricks regardless of total HCP; and
=Appropriate trick taking power to make them significantly better than the prototypical "average" bridge hand (10 HCP, 3 controls, 8-9 losers, ~3 expected tricks.)

In addition, as Edgar Kaplan's once said "you can't fight tanks with pillows".
A good score is far more likely when opening lighter, more shapely Major suit oriented hands than it is to open such minor suit oriented hands.
IOW, 11- HCP hands with 8+ cards in tje Majors that are worth opening are far more likely than the same hand with 8+ cards in the minors.


3= I strongly agree that system unfamiliarity can and often does generate far more good scores than said system should if it was thoroughly analyzed and understood.
Bergen and Cohen super aggressive Weak Twos are an excellent example. Once people had enough familiarity with them, they ceased being anywhere near as effective. Same can be said for just about any hyper-aggressive system or treatment, up to and including Forcing Pass systems.
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#82 User is offline   pbleighton 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 07:43

Quote

Same can be said for just about any hyper-aggressive system or treatment, up to and including Forcing Pass systems.


This is quite theoretical, as the powers that be banned Forcing Pass systems before people got used to them.

But the rest of your point is obviously valid, how can you explain the pathetic record of failure that Meckwell have accumulated playing their light opening system. Card players like these guys should be able to win a national championship or two, their failure to do so must be a result of their aggressive bidding...

:)

Peter
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#83 User is offline   foo 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 08:14

pbleighton, on May 20 2007, 08:43 AM, said:

Quote

Same can be said for just about any hyper-aggressive system or treatment, up to and including Forcing Pass systems.


This is quite theoretical, as the powers that be banned Forcing Pass systems before people got used to them.

But the rest of your point is obviously valid, how can you explain the pathetic record of failure that Meckwell have accumulated playing their light opening system. Card players like these guys should be able to win a national championship or two, their failure to do so must be a result of their aggressive bidding...

:P

Peter

Wise Guy :)

Actually, =look= at Meckwell's opening's
1= They usually have their 2 defensive tricks.
2= They always have a hand with decent trick taking prospects or HCP.
They are not opening 4333 10's or other such garbage unless they have a systemic bid for it like a Kamikaze 1N.
3= They are playing a Forcing Club system; which allows them to open lighter and still keep things under control because their 1 bids have less range.
4= They have, what? 700-800 pages of system notes? and have been playing together for 25+ years? I submit part of the cost of their aggressiveness is more system complexity and one of the requirements for their level of aggression is rock-solid familiarity with each other.

...and finally,
5= their most famous "aggressions" are when they are playing against top flight competition and =everyone= up there is pushing bidding and play to as close to the edge as they can.
Put them in a room where people aren't pushing the edge as hard and neither do they.

Oh, and let's not forget that Meckwell =have= "been caught speeding" on occasion and =have= had some bidding disasters due to the aggression of their system.
TANSTAAFL. Even if you are one of the top pairs in the world and each of you is one of the top 10 players in the world.
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#84 User is offline   pbleighton 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 08:50

Quote

1= They usually have their 2 defensive tricks.


Usually, but quite often not. They open a lot of 9/10 counts with shape and < 2 QT.

Quote

5= their most famous "aggressions" are when they are playing against top flight competition and =everyone= up there is pushing bidding and play to as close to the edge as they can.
Put them in a room where people aren't pushing the edge as hard and neither do they.


Hmm.. So you are saying that the best players in the world bid more aggressively than average players? I agree with you. We must watch the same Vugraph. They obviously enjoy their pillow fights :)

Peter
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#85 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 08:53

foo, on May 20 2007, 04:18 PM, said:

1= Weak Two bids.
When Schenken invented Weak 2's, the 1st and 2nd chair requirements were
=8-12 HCP.
=You had to have a 5-6 playing tricks, especially Vul.
=Your suit had to be headed by at least 2 honors if a 6carder, 3 honors if a 5carder, and 1 high honor if a 7carder (was only allowed in a 7222)
=No side voids were allowed unless in S's IIRC.
Most importantly, Schenken was explicit that 1st and 2nd chair Weak Two's were !not! "Preemptive Two's".

Howard Vanderbilt was using Weak Two Bids a LONG time before Schenken...
Alderaan delenda est
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#86 User is offline   foo 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 09:09

hrothgar, on May 20 2007, 09:53 AM, said:

Howard Vanderbilt was using Weak Two Bids a LONG time before Schenken...

Source please.

Don't know who Howard Vanderbilt was, but

According to my copy of the Bridge Encyclopedia,
=Harold Vanderbilt (1884-1970)
is the inventor of Bridge and of the 1st Forcing Club system
=Howard Schenken (1905-1979)
is the inventor of Weak Two's, as well as a few other things regarding bidding and play, and is considered to be in the running as possibly the best player of all time.
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#87 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 12:57

foo, on May 20 2007, 09:14 AM, said:

Put them [Meckwell] in a room where people aren't pushing the edge as hard and neither do they.

Source please?
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#88 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 13:55

foo, on May 20 2007, 06:09 PM, said:

Source please.

Don't know who Howard Vanderbilt was, but

Sorry, meant to say Harold Vanderbilt...

Given that you seem to have a copy of the Encyclopedia of Bridge handy please note the following quote from the entry on Vanderbilt:

"He devised the first unified system of bidding and was solely responsible for the artificial 1 bid to show a strong hand, the negative 1 response, the strong (16 - 18 point) NT on balanced hands only, and the weak two bid opening"

Of course, the same lovely book has the following to say about Schenken

"He is credited with the introduction of several speccts of playing technique and deceptive play now standard, plus the weak two bid, the forcing two-over-one, the prepared opening bid ("anticipation"), and several other bidding devices"

And no one should neglect the following quote about Al Roth:

"His many contributions to bidding theory include unusual notrump, weak two bids, one notrump forcing, and negative doubles"

If you check the actual section on Weak Two Bids, its says the following:

The use of suit openings of 2, 2, and 2 as preemptive bids, in combination with Two Clubs storng artificial opening. A prototype of the weak two was used in auction bridge and adopted in the Vanderbilt Club System. Subsequently Charles Van Vleck, New York, was responsible for an ultra weak two. Howard Schencken developed the modern weak two-bid along lines similar to Vanderbilt's. It was later incorporated into most modern American bidding systems, and into the Neopolitan and Blue Team Club systems".

In short, I think that your identification of Schenken as the inventor is rather arbitrary...
Alderaan delenda est
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#89 User is offline   junyi_zhu 

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Posted 2007-May-20, 19:19

mike777, on May 3 2007, 10:25 PM, said:

Here in North America it seems distributional hands with less than 13/14 hcp may often be opened at the one level as opposed to opening them with a weak(ish) two bid. I get the impression it is more common but perhaps still not standard in other parts of the world to open these with a weakish 2 bid.

Would the more expert/experienced players care to comment on the pros and cons of leaving opening one bids to stronger(hcp) hands or to reverse the discussion why opening dist hands with fewer hcp(under 14) at the one level seems very common expert standard practice?

One basic problem of not opening distributional two suiters or three suiters is that if you don't open it at one level, you'll have a hard time to show them later when the bidding gets high.
One basic problem of opening distributional two suiters at one level is that if you open them and find no fit, you may get too high and partner may not be able to make successful penalty doubles.

So generally speaking, it's a problem of hand evaluation indeed. For fewer losers
hands, you can often make a lot of games or slams when you find a fit and when you don't find a fit, you may often get high.

Modern bridge players tend to believe that they may eventually find a fit more often and their opps may not be alerted enough to penalize them when they overbid, including not doubling or not defending accurately. Also, 2/1 is good for this aggressive opening purpose cause opponents seldoms know you have stretched when you are in a gf sequence and may not make enough penalty doubles.
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#90 User is offline   bhall 

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Posted 2007-May-21, 10:26

One aspect that seems to have been neglected in this interesting discussion is dummy value. Most of mike777's examples make truly lousy dummies when partner insists on playing in his long suit or notrump. Two aces do not a decent dummy make, nor 5-5s a fit. And Fantoni-Nunes' 11-point 4441s are not even close to opening dummy values.

If one chooses to open a hand that is dummy-deficient (meaning less than 3 very likely high-card tricks), one should be able to handle all the likely developments, not just those where the opening side has a fit. Sometimes the best start for a 7-card suit is a one-level opening, but then opener can almost always rescue his deluded partner. Nine-point 6-4 shapes need not fear a pass-out, and it is easy to devise two-suit competitive methods for when the opponents open one of your short suits. If they open your 4-card suit, half of your problems are solved.

In the context of a "standard" system, I suspect that the real motivation for opening one bids on poor-but-shapely dummies is theft. Unless partner is in on the joke (as in strong-club, weak-opening systems), the infrequent-but-painful bad results tend to destroy confidence that useful cards will be found in opener's hand. That has radical, negative long-term effects on partnership bidding.
just plain Bill
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