assign the blame
#2
Posted 2007-April-29, 22:11
#3 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2007-April-29, 23:03
#5
Posted 2007-April-30, 01:34
an understatement.
2NT does not promise any strength, and South
decided to hide the 5 card spade suit (one may or
may not agree), but having made the decison, he
should stick with it.
Raising 3S to 4S is also terrible, but the 3S bid beats
it by a large margin, and if South started to discuss the
raise, I would simply shoot him.
With kind kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#6
Posted 2007-April-30, 02:13
From my point of view, most blame goes on North who tried with 3 small spades, a balanced hand and dubious ♥K to steal the pot (knowing NS to have max 23 HCP). Too aggressive.
Had North passed, South's 3♠ would be a winning bid when spades broke 2-3.
Blame:
North - 85%
South - 15%
#7
Posted 2007-April-30, 02:31
George Carlin
#8
Posted 2007-April-30, 03:55
Kxx
Kx
ATxxxx
xx
1NT . (2♥) 2NT (3♥)
pass (pass) ..??
Now North has to bid 3NT and opps cash out 5 clubs when 4♠ is a lay-down.
No one has the blame. It's just bad luck.
#9
Posted 2007-April-30, 04:30
whereagles, on Apr 30 2007, 10:55 AM, said:
Kxx
Kx
ATxxxx
xx
1NT . (2♥) 2NT (3♥)
pass (pass) ..??
Now North has to bid 3NT and opps cash out 5 clubs when 4♠ is a lay-down.
No one has the blame. It's just bad luck.
Don't you think North would bid 3♦ instead of lebensohl with such hand?
#11
Posted 2007-April-30, 09:09
Apollo81, on Apr 30 2007, 06:33 AM, said:
Confession is good for the soul, Noble. I wish I had a nickel for every 'assign the blame' hand I posted where I didn't get a 'favorable' outcome.
#12
Posted 2007-April-30, 09:16
pclayton, on Apr 30 2007, 11:09 AM, said:
Apollo81, on Apr 30 2007, 06:33 AM, said:
Confession is good for the soul, Noble. I wish I had a nickel for every 'assign the blame' hand I posted where I didn't get a 'favorable' outcome.
My thought after the hand was that with Axx of hearts it would have been reasonable if I had really good spades, but I guess even that is pushing it.
#13
Posted 2007-April-30, 12:59
Free, on Apr 30 2007, 10:30 AM, said:
Not necessarily. Why shouldn't he just bid the normal Lebenshol sequence of 2NT + 3NT to show he's got a stop?
Besides, it's easy to construct hands consistent with 2NT that have 3 spades and 10+ hcp.
#14
Posted 2007-April-30, 13:09
whereagles, on Apr 30 2007, 01:59 PM, said:
Free, on Apr 30 2007, 10:30 AM, said:
Not necessarily. Why shouldn't he just bid the normal Lebenshol sequence of 2NT + 3NT to show he's got a stop?
Besides, it's easy to construct hands consistent with 2NT that have 3 spades and 10+ hcp.
Because, by bidding 3D directly, you create a forcing auction immediately, but if you bid 2N and the opponents bid 3H, partner does know which hand you have.
Are you broke with a minor? Or do you have g/f values with a stop? In the first case (as it is here), bidding 3S got what it deserved.
Bidding 3D now, does not preclude you from bidding 3N later.
1N-(2H)-3D-(3H)-?
Now partner can bid 3S knowing that you are on g/f values.
3S-p-3N
or 3S-p-4S
or 3S-4D.
Unilaterally bidding 2N followed by 3N everytime you have a heart stop and ignoring your 6 card suit will lead to many subsequent problems further down the road.
So many experts, not enough X cards.
#15
Posted 2007-April-30, 14:24
3S I would say as automatic, since:
a) It looks as though partner rates to be short in hearts. Therefore his values rate to be all working
c) His minor suit honours rate to be useful to support partner's minor, assuming he has one.
d) North should realise that South is expecting him to have points working outside of the heart suit. He does not. Therefore 4S is too pushy.
#16
Posted 2007-April-30, 15:08
bid_em_up, on Apr 30 2007, 07:09 PM, said:
2. Are you broke with a minor? Or do you have g/f values with a stop?
3. In the first case (as it is here), bidding 3S got what it deserved.
4. Unilaterally bidding 2N followed by 3N everytime you have a heart stop and ignoring your 6 card suit will lead to many subsequent problems further down the road.
1. With the hand I gave, there's no question that 3NT is the right contract, so why not bid it straight away via the usual mechanism of 2N+3N? Why should I have to bid 3♦, in robot-like fashion, if that only serves the purpose of pointing opps to a club lead (not to mention giving pard a headache if he has no rebid)?
2. In my book "broke with a minor" PASSES. If you're thinking of 5-7 hcp and a long suit, bidding 3♠ is also ok since pard is likely to pull onto his suit. Bit risky, but certainly not reckless.
3. Got what it deserved?? Are you suggesting one should never play 4♠ with 22 hcp and ruffing values? At imps!!?? Actually, are you suggesting that, when one opens 1NT and pard competes, one should be very careful because it might be THEIR hand?
4. Sorry, but this is just results-merchandising.
Face it, sometimes normal actions lead to disaster. Sometimes you're just fixed. Check this out: a friend once had something like (all red)
x
AK
KQJTxx
AQJx
RHO opened 4♠. Now, a pretty normal 5♦bid, right? Wrong. LHO has all the 7 remaining diamonds and you go -1700 down with no fault at all.
#17
Posted 2007-April-30, 16:52
whereagles, on Apr 30 2007, 04:55 AM, said:
Kxx
Kx
ATxxxx
xx
1NT . (2♥) 2NT (3♥)
pass (pass) ..??
Now North has to bid 3NT and opps cash out 5 clubs when 4♠ is a lay-down.
No one has the blame. It's just bad luck.
I don't disagree with you that this is a possible hand. But that doesn't make 3♠ the correct bid. It's way way way too small of a target to hope partner is on a game forcing hand that has three card spade support, where 3NT also isn't good. That possibility is remote compared to the extremely likely possibility partner just has some weak hand with a minor and if you bid 3♠ you will get massacred.
3♠ is a truly risky bid with a very unlikely upside.
#18
Posted 2007-May-01, 02:55
Besides, the original hand shows my point: 3♠ gets beaten only because of the bad break. Look what happens if you pass: pard will have to bid 4♦ (he's definitely not going to pass) and not only you go down anyway (even with a good spade break), you go down missing the spade fit.
I stand by my opinion: 3♠ is completely correct. I think people that blame South are being biased from seeing all hands and end up arguing with results. Actually, I blame North more than South because he bid game with insufficient values. Not that I wouldn't do the same, but that's probably a more frisky bid than 3♠.
#19
Posted 2007-May-01, 07:49
jdonn, on Apr 30 2007, 06:52 PM, said:
Yeah, it's a pretty bad bid.
#20
Posted 2007-May-01, 08:48
whereagles, on May 1 2007, 10:55 AM, said:
Besides, the original hand shows my point: 3♠ gets beaten only because of the bad break. Look what happens if you pass: pard will have to bid 4♦ (he's definitely not going to pass) and not only you go down anyway (even with a good spade break), you go down missing the spade fit.
I stand by my opinion: 3♠ is completely correct. I think people that blame South are being biased from seeing all hands and end up arguing with results. Actually, I blame North more than South because he bid game with insufficient values. Not that I wouldn't do the same, but that's probably a more frisky bid than 3♠.
How would you interpret a double in this sequence:
1NT (2♥) 2NT 3♥
p (p) x?
Harald

Help

1NT*-(2♥**)-2NT***-(3♥)
3♠-(p)-4♠-(X)
all pass
*14-16
**♥ + minor
***Lebensohl