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Worth a slam try?

#1 User is offline   david_c 

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Posted 2007-April-22, 18:26

Scoring: IMP

RHO opens a Precision 2, and you double for take-out. LHO passes, partner jumps to 4 and RHO passes. What do you do now?
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#2 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2007-April-22, 19:06

Pass
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#3 User is online   jillybean 

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Posted 2007-April-22, 19:06

Pass
“It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.”
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#4 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2007-April-22, 19:08

jillybean2, on Apr 22 2007, 08:06 PM, said:

Pass

ditto.

As usual almost always giving up on slam after rho shows opening bid values in first seat. (Bergen)
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#5 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2007-April-22, 19:08

5.
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#6 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2007-April-22, 19:31

I'm tempted to just bid 6. Both heart hooks are probably on if I need both. I'm expecting to simply need partner to have solid spades but have no assured way to ask this question. In the end, I'll probably settle for 5.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

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#7 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2007-April-22, 20:21

Tough one, pard could have KJxxxx xx x Kxxx and the 5 level has no safety, or he could have AKQxx or AKxxxx of spades and 6 is very good. I'm worried by LHO's pass, I think partner might have some club values and some 5-5 hand where he's gambling it out. I think I'll pass.
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#8 User is offline   Edmunte1 

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Posted 2007-April-23, 02:40

This is a close one, but i think i'll pass. Why? No trump honours, and even if partener has great trumps, the contract is in danger on a lead
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#9 User is offline   mr1303 

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Posted 2007-April-23, 04:38

Partner hasn't helped us much with his 4S bid. Does he have a 13 count with 5 spades, or does he have a weaker, more shapely hand?

It's a guess. I guess badly, so I'll pass.
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#10 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-April-23, 04:46

Screw it. Got a 5 loser hand. I'm bidding 5 :)
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#11 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2007-April-23, 08:20

I wonder about the passive bidders.I had prefered 6 Spade to pass.

If Pd has a real one suiter, He just needs Akxxxx,xx,xx,xxx to make slam worth bidding.
If he has some 13 HCPs he does not neeed more then AKxxx,Axx,xx,xxx to make slam nearly laydown. And there are very few hands which are not safe at the 5. level.


5 Club
Kind Regards

Roland


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More system is not the answer...
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#12 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2007-April-23, 08:30

With 13 points partner cannot bid 4S, that would be a terrible bid. Even with the last example of AKxxx Axx xx xxx he should not be bidding 4S. There is no reason not to start with a cuebid first with a power 4S bid. 4S should be based on shape. That is not to say slam is not possible opposite what a 4S bid should be, but there's no way he should be bidding 4S with some of the hands suggested.
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#13 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2007-April-23, 08:44

A lot of people can't be trusted to actually have their 4 bid here. With anyone that might actually have 13 points I would bid 5. I'd pass opposite a good player.
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#14 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-April-23, 12:38

I'd pass. Rates to be the odds on action, but might be close. See Justin's posts.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#15 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-April-23, 16:13

Tough one, I suspect passing is right.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#16 User is offline   david_c 

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Posted 2007-April-24, 05:13

The hands were

Scoring: IMP


If you reach the five-level you'll have to play it well. Our teammates who had this problem actually bid to 6 which had no chance.
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#17 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2007-April-24, 09:41

This is not that hard of a hand to play well at the five-level. With spades 2-2, you have an ability to ruff two clubs, the third going on the third top diamond. Now, all you need to accomplish is the placing of the heart cards, a rather obvious play.

Further, 5, the bid by all of us who stabbed at slam, results in a sign-off from partner.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

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#18 User is offline   jchiu 

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Posted 2007-April-24, 10:41

kenrexford, on Apr 24 2007, 03:41 PM, said:

Now, all you need to accomplish is the placing of the heart cards, a rather obvious play.

While playing the opener for the A is percentage, anyone who claims that it is "obvious" has no sense of card visualisation. Many would certainly open 2 with

Kx Qxx J KQxxxxx
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#19 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2007-April-24, 12:53

This is not a matter of card visualization.

If the opening lead is a small heart, quite an extraordinary lead, you might have a problem. Law of averages seems to point toward rising with the King. Hence, even with that lead, the play is not difficult. It is simply a matter of playing logical percentages that heavily weigh in your favor.

If you do not get a heart opening lead, the likely candidate is a diamond. When this proves to not be the Jack, the provided visualized hand disappears. Even on a club lead, the diamond situation will make itself apparent.

If a diamond is the lead, then a heart switch when Opener is in with the high trump, if a finesse is taken, then rising with the King is necessary, as the only play.

In other words, the play at the five-level is "obvious" in the sense that the only plausible lines on any defense always lead Declarer to the end result of making five. "All roads lead to Rome."

That the five-level contract might fail on a specific and unfortunate layout is somewhat irrelevant. The 5 call was based upon an assumption that the heart Ace was likely in Opener's hand. Nothing will change that assumption on this deal.

Further, for every time Opener happens to have the death hand, partner will have the heart Ace instead of the club Ace and a small slam will be found (or the spade King).
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

-P.J. Painter.
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