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lead

#1 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2007-March-27, 03:44

what would you lead?

x
QJ
AQJxx
AJTxx

MP all white mediocre opps after the auction

(1♠)-2NT(6 or fewer losers)-(p)-4♣(invitational);
(4♥)-5♣-(p)*-p
(5♥)-X-(5♠)-X
a.p.
*=maybe a sign of a hesitation. not nearly enough to call for the TD.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#2 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2007-March-27, 08:07

A trump and a heart are both out. So which minor am I leading?

While this could well be wrong, I am more concerned about declarer being 6-5-0-2, than I am his being 6-5-2-0. If he is the former, and I lead the A♦, dummy may well have the K♦, as declarer ruffs, crosses to dummy with a heart or a trump and disposes of one of his clubs.

Yes, he could just as easily ruff the A♣, and cross to dummy, and take a pitch on dummies K♣. Partner did bid 4C invitationally, hopefully he has the K♣.

If I am supposed to infer that dummy may well have Kx or Kxx♣ by his "slight" hesitation, I just won't do it. Especially not if it is while playing online.

So I lead the A♣.

EDIT: A close 2nd choice was a small club so that partner can win and play a diamond through declarer. However, this will look really foolish if declarer holds the stiff K♣ or dummy holds Kx(x) and wins. So I still lead the A.
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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