Posted 2007-January-23, 09:55
(I have edited this, see below, after thinking about it last night)
Lead a club, here is why ...
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Can pard have the Dime Ace? If so he can lose it if we dont return a dime.
If pard has the KJ in Dimes a dime return will also work.
What does pard have for a 2♥ overcall, opposite a passed pard, and only a 5 card heart suit?
Would pard have cashed teh dime ace before returning the 3rd heart for us to ruff? No, he would have no reason to suspect our trump holding.
Pard can have the Dime Ace or the Dime K.
We have 3 tricks, and will get at least 2 more (AQ trumps), we need 3 more.
Can anything bad happen if we dont return a Dime? Yes, it can be discarded on Clubs. But we still have time.
Lead a club.
Assume pard doesnt ruff.
Declarer wins and leds a spade to Dummy.
Rise with the Q.
Play another Club.
Assuming a 2-2 split, declarer is locked in dummy.
He can lead a spade or a dime or a club.
If Declarer has AJ in dimes and leads the Q, we wont get any dimes, and declarer can continue and enter hand.
Or he can lea dthe spade J.
The problem with that is we continue clubs. Now he's locked in 100%.
He cant get back to hand then back to dummy.
Leading a dime can hurt, can't help.
Leading a Club can't hurt.
Rules of Defense
1. Thou shalt not underlead aces against a suit contract (except in a few unusual cases)
2. Thou shalt not lead unsupported aces against a suit contract "to get alook at dummy" (unless hoping for a ruff with a doubleton and no other lead)
3. Thou shalt not break (open) new suits. Let declarer do that
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Addition
After more thought - leading a club, and then continuing a club can hurt if pard has a stiff spade and 2 club, hence south has 2 clubs.
South wins the Club ace, leads a spade.
We win, lead another Club.
Dummy wins, and leads another winning club discarding a dime loser.
Then leads another spade.
We win with the Ace, all thats left id the 9, with south holding the K and T and small.
On our next exit, south ruffs with the 10, pulls our 9 with the king for:
3 clubs
1 dime
4 spades
making the contract
The contract is set if pard holds the 10 or K or spades, or a doubleton spade,
Is pard more likely to hold
S x
H A K J x x
D K J x x x
C x x
[this is set on a dime lead]
or
S x
H A K J x x
D K J x x x x
C x
[this is set on a Club continuation]
I think with the later pard may have bid 2 Spades [Michaels]
so the first is more likely.
I think leading a dime is better.
Also, without the J, declarer makes
S x
H A K J x x
D K x x x x
C x x
N E S W
- - 1♠ P
1NT 2♥ 2♠ P
P P