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The 5-Level Insurance or No?

#1 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2006-December-24, 13:18

Scoring: IMP

1S-2S-4S-4N
P- 5D-5S-?


Partner guarantees at least 5-5. Pass, bid 6 as insurance, or double?
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#2 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2006-December-24, 13:21

hmm...insurance...I would be tempted to XX 6D lol. I'm bidding to make.
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#3 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-December-24, 13:52

Jlall, on Dec 24 2006, 02:21 PM, said:

hmm...insurance...I would be tempted to XX 6D lol. I'm bidding to make.

I'd guess 6♦ is down one most of the time, so I am not planning on redoubling, but it rates to make often enough that one has to bid it. In fact, I would have bid 5N last time :huh:
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#4 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2006-December-24, 13:55

mikeh, on Dec 24 2006, 02:52 PM, said:

I'd guess 6♦ is down one most of the time

pfft, so pessimistic :huh:
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#5 User is offline   1eyedjack 

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Posted 2006-December-24, 15:02

Partner rates to have at least 2 Clubs given that he seems to have a void Spade. Question is, to my mind, how likely is it that he has a fitting Ace or Queen in Clubs (I reckon rather unlikely) and if not how often will they be stacked over the KJ (or declarer misguesses if split) - my guess is quite high.

What the hey - I bid 6D anyway.
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#6 User is offline   flytoox 

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Posted 2006-December-24, 20:52

6D to make.
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#7 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2006-December-24, 22:00

6♦ expecting it to have decent chances.
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#8 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2006-December-24, 23:08

An interesting hand. Partner held x, K10xxxx, Kxxxx, 10. If you double and parnter guesses it is lead directing and leads a heart, and you guess to underlead the diamond Ace back, you get +300. (edited - we come to a club trick as well.)

My choice was to take out insurance and bid 6D. This was doubled and a trump was led (killer lead).

The 4S/5S bidder held: AQx, AQxx, xx, 9xxx.

On a trump lead and continuation 6D doubled is off -500.

What's that saying.....the 5 level belongs to someone.....
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#9 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2006-December-25, 00:34

Heh, gotta admit its pretty surprising that he didnt have a spade void. 5S is a surprising bid with that hand as well.

I don't think it's clear partner will lead a heart against 5S X, but he should probably figure it out since we have length in both minors and presumably length in spades.
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#10 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2006-December-25, 04:12

Jlall, on Dec 25 2006, 08:34 AM, said:

Heh, gotta admit its pretty surprising that he didnt have a spade void. 5S is a surprising bid with that hand as well.

Yeah 5S seems very strange, but it worked against bad opps like us ;)

Anyway, even if we have somewhat more reliable opponents and thus a spade void with partner - it seems reasonable odds that we have just one loser, but is it also good odds for 12 winners on a trump lead?

I am still bidding 6♦, but I am certainly too chicken to redouble...
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