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I failed to make this contract choosing a line that could have succeeded had I guessed the trumps right. Nevertheless I am not sure I chose the line most likely to succeed. Opinions on what is the best line and why?
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3 suggested lines of play
#1
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Posted 2006-November-27, 15:33
I failed to make this contract choosing a line that could have succeeded had I guessed the trumps right. Nevertheless I am not sure I chose the line most likely to succeed. Opinions on what is the best line and why?
May 2003: Mission accomplished
Oct 2006: Mission impossible
Soon: Mission illegal
Oct 2006: Mission impossible
Soon: Mission illegal
#2
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Posted 2006-November-27, 16:05
Running a bit on instinct, getting to the bottom of the bottle of Yaldara Eastate Barossa, I voted for playing on Diamonds.
A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position.
A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position.
Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. m
s
t
r-m
nd
ing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. m
str-mnding) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees."Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
#3
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Posted 2006-November-27, 16:41
Quote
Running a bit on instinct, getting to the bottom of the bottle of Yaldara Eastate Barossa, I voted for playing on Diamonds.
A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position.
A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position.
To increase your chance of one of the opps using a natural trump trick you could cash the ♠A first.
Sean
#4
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Posted 2006-November-27, 16:55
I also like the ♠A...
"It may be rude to leave to go to the bathroom, but it's downright stupid to sit there and piss yourself" - blackshoe
#5
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Posted 2006-November-27, 16:57
jikl, on Nov 27 2006, 11:41 PM, said:
Quote
Running a bit on instinct, getting to the bottom of the bottle of Yaldara Eastate Barossa, I voted for playing on Diamonds.
A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position.
A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position.
To increase your chance of one of the opps using a natural trump trick you could cash the ♠A first.
Sean
I am expecting the hand with the long trumps to be ruffing the third round of Diamonds. In that event cashing the Spade Ace first does not appear to gain anything, but I am happy to be overruled.
Cashing the Spade Ace first does appear to be preferable if the Diamonds happen to be 3-3 and someone started with S:Hx doubleton. But then, if the Diamonds started 3-3 I am pretty happy anyway.
My main objection to cashing the S:A to start with is that it cuts down on options for ruffing Clubs, should the run of the Diamonds not work out perfectly.
Possibly flawed reasoning, but as I say, running on vapour.
Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mstr-mnding) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. m
str-mnding) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees."Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
Page 1 of 1
Contract 4♠ by South with opps silent. Bidding 1♠-2♣-2♦-3♦-4♠
Bidding was supposed to be BBO Adv, but that is another story.
Lead 2♣, 6,3,7.
fwiiw opps play standard leads. East I believe to be an expert player. West is not.