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hand evaluation poll

#1 User is offline   Stephen Tu 

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Posted 2006-October-17, 15:26

Scoring: MP


Clearcut 2h opener at this vul?

Say for whatever reason you decide to pass. Partner opens a strong NT. Signoff, invite, or FG?
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#2 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2006-October-17, 15:28

I would invite.
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#3 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2006-October-17, 15:29

Stephen Tu, on Oct 17 2006, 01:26 PM, said:

Scoring: MP


Clearcut 2h opener at this vul?

Say for whatever reason you decide to pass. Partner opens a strong NT. Signoff, invite, or FG?

No, 2 is even too rich for me ;)

Over 1N, I'd invite via 2 followed by a 3 raise. I'd accept opposite any type of super accept.
"Phil" on BBO
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#4 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-October-17, 15:52

Last time I held this hand, it was black AJ9xxx xx x 10xxx and red v white I made the mistake of opening 2: I was bored and talked myself into it, knowing that the player at the other table was hyper-aggressive and would definitely open.

Well, I batted 50%. The -1100 was a push.

As for after 1N, I invite.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#5 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2006-October-17, 15:57

I would have opened 2H for what its worth. -1100 happens, so does getting the right lead, preempting the opps and making them less accurate, finding a big fit that allows you to bid a low HCP game that you would have been shut out of otherwise (yes this happens, your side passes throughout cold for 5H), etc etc. The heart 9 made me do it ;)
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#6 User is offline   HeartA 

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Posted 2006-October-17, 15:58

2H or pass, I might open 2H though. Now that I passed, I would invite.
Senshu
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#7 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-October-17, 16:02

Jlall, on Oct 17 2006, 04:57 PM, said:

The heart 9 made me do it ;)

That was my argument as well... and I even had the 7 to back it up. My teammates nodded, but I don't think they really agreed :)
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#8 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2006-October-17, 16:03

1) no to 2h at this vul.
2) Ok since no asked why invite at MP if no super accept? The 9 of H? ;)
It sounds like we may have some wasted club values?
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#9 User is offline   mr1303 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 02:25

I'll open 2 every day of the week with this hand
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#10 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 03:14

There is one big problem with an invitation: I doubt, that pd can visulisze your hand accurate to make a good descission after your 3 Heart bid.

How on earth can you have a hand too weak for a weak two, but strong enough to invite now? I guess my pd will play me for a 46xx hand, because this is the only hand, which I might not open. He may make some very funny bids under this assumption.

If you have the agreement, that weak twos content two top honours or at least 6 or 8 HCPS in red, then this is easier and an easy invite.
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#11 User is offline   ArcLight 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 06:59

Why is this a "clear cut" 2 opener with us Vulnerable and the opponents not vulnerable? I guess it depends on your partnership agreement.
(Maybe this is a Marty Bergen V-nV 2 bid?)

What would your non-vul vs. non-vul 2 bid look like?

How about your non-vul vs vul 2 bid?
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#12 User is offline   inquiry 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 07:06

This vul, clear cut pass

I would invite.
--Ben--

#13 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 09:07

Open 2? Definitely. It's a 6-4, for heaven's sake.

After pard's 1NT: all evaluation methods I tried hinted at a marginal game at best. I'll just transfer and pass, unless pard makes super-accept noises (after which 4 becomes pretty obvious).
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#14 User is offline   pbleighton 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 10:01

"Why is this a "clear cut" 2♥ opener with us Vulnerable and the opponents not vulnerable? I guess it depends on your partnership agreement.
(Maybe this is a Marty Bergen V-nV 2 bid?)

What would your non-vul vs. non-vul 2♥ bid look like?

How about your non-vul vs vul 2♥ bid? "

You don't want to know :)

Peter
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#15 User is offline   plaur 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 10:11

Open 2's everyday at MP's, vul vs not, 1st pos.
Pass 2nd pos, vul vs not.
Ponder 3 not vul vs. vul, 1st pos :-)
Transfer and pass after 1NT.
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#16 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 11:44

Hi,

with given vul. this hand is a
clear cut pass.

I would invite.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#17 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 11:57

I open 2 all day long at MP's and don't invite at MP's. If PD superaccepts I carry on to game.

I'd pass at Imps since being wrong can be too costly and even at Imps this hand is not an invite for me over a 15-17 NT as PD may have strength in my short suits, but I think it is close to an Imp invite.

..neilkaz ..
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#18 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2006-October-18, 23:18

At this vulnerability a pass is clear at all forms of the game, unless you are totally shooting at MPs. As do the others, I will bid game after a superaccept.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#19 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2006-October-19, 02:50

This hand has seven and a half looser which is right for a 2 opening as well as for an invite if partner opens a 15-17 1NT.

I don't care too much for the vulnerability when preempting in first seat at matchpoints. An undisiplined preempt may mess up your own auction, but zero MP is zero MP. But this is a disciplined 2 so I would do the same at IMPs.
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket
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#20 User is offline   inquiry 

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Posted 2006-October-19, 07:50

Not that it matters, but I did an analysis using bridgebrowser of this hand. I had to make some tradeoffs, and quite frankly, suit quality is problem with this search.

Conditions:

1. Dealer vul opponents not
2. Dealer has 5 or 6 hcp (I added one) with AJxxxx in hearts or spades
3. Dealer shape is 6332, 6421, or 6331
4. I forced dealer to open 2H or 2S (depending upon long suit).

First, why tradeoffs? Why not 6421 with exactly 5 hcp at vul versus non-vul? Because restricting to DEALER, cuts the number of matching hands by 1/4, restricting to AJxxxx specifically cuts it further, limiting to at most one more jack even further. There were simply too few hands that fit the requirements if you make them so restricted.

Even with these "expanded" terms, I had searched across 7 onllne databases (two BBO tournament databases, 3 bbo main room databases, and two okbridge databases) to find the hand that matched these criteria.

The results appear to suggest that opening with a weak two (either) earns an average of -0.084 imps and 49.08% MP (2483 hands). The data for hearts alone was -0.30 and 49.74 (1312 hands) and for spades +0.15 and 48.27 (1171), The data from each database is given below, and clearly the variability suggest a larger sample size is needed before any conclusions could be drawn. In addition, AJT8xx is much better than AJ5432, whihc wasn't evaluated, and 6421 is a much better shape than 6322. So this is probably nothing more than a general interest post.

HEARTS
Imp     Hands     Matchpoint  Hand
-0.22      57          56.04	17
0.53       99           46.67      6
-0.71     191        36.69        31
0          0         47.15        72
-0.12      339        52.31        283
-0.5       152        42.5        8
-1.37      37        41.51        20
Total      875                  437

SPADES 
Imp     Hands     Matchpoint  Hand
-1.09        74        44.62        36
1.12        112        46.67        5
0.62        96        47.11        54
-0.34        80        53.51        28
-0.49        273        48.27        204
0.9        127        70.66        5
1.11        57        45.39        20
Totals       819                   352

--Ben--

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