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How would you declare this against most if not all breaks?
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The Wolf in Sheep's Clothing A hand from the MBC
#1
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Posted 2006-July-31, 18:36
You and your new pard are ironing out your agreements. You somehow find your way to an excellent 6♠ contract.
How would you declare this against most if not all breaks?
How would you declare this against most if not all breaks?
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
#2
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Posted 2006-August-01, 01:39
I have 5 club tricks and the ace of hearts, so I probably need 6 trump tricks. That means two ruffs in one hand or the other, and therefore I cannot cope with any 4-1 trump breaks unless something good happens.
Unless there's some reason to be certain the HK is wrong, I think I finesse.
i) If the HQ holds I am now fairly secure. I continue heart ruff, AK of spades. If RHO blows take the spade finesse and cash 12 winners. If LHO blows play a club to dummy, another heart ruff and start cashing clubs. At some point RHO will ruff, but then he has to give us an entry to dummy via a heart, a trump or a diamond ruff. This loses only if clubs are 4-0. I could play the club to dummy before the second heart ruff, but I'm not sure that makes much difference.
ii) If the HQ loses, it depends what comes back:
iia) A diamond: ruff in dummy, club to hand, diamond ruff, queen of spades, heart ruff, AK of spades. This needs trumps 3-2.
iib) A heart: ruff in hand, AK of spades, club to dummy, heart ruff, diamond ruff, SQ.
iic) A trump: run it round to dummy, heart ruff, club to dummy, heart ruff (high), other top trump, diamond ruff, trump
So by finessing I'm making every time spades are 4-1 and the HK is right, but I'm losing to a few layouts when the HK is wrong e.g. singleton SJ (HA, H ruff, SA dropping the jack, club to dummy, H ruff high, trumps).
Unless there's some reason to be certain the HK is wrong, I think I finesse.
i) If the HQ holds I am now fairly secure. I continue heart ruff, AK of spades. If RHO blows take the spade finesse and cash 12 winners. If LHO blows play a club to dummy, another heart ruff and start cashing clubs. At some point RHO will ruff, but then he has to give us an entry to dummy via a heart, a trump or a diamond ruff. This loses only if clubs are 4-0. I could play the club to dummy before the second heart ruff, but I'm not sure that makes much difference.
ii) If the HQ loses, it depends what comes back:
iia) A diamond: ruff in dummy, club to hand, diamond ruff, queen of spades, heart ruff, AK of spades. This needs trumps 3-2.
iib) A heart: ruff in hand, AK of spades, club to dummy, heart ruff, diamond ruff, SQ.
iic) A trump: run it round to dummy, heart ruff, club to dummy, heart ruff (high), other top trump, diamond ruff, trump
So by finessing I'm making every time spades are 4-1 and the HK is right, but I'm losing to a few layouts when the HK is wrong e.g. singleton SJ (HA, H ruff, SA dropping the jack, club to dummy, H ruff high, trumps).
#3
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Posted 2006-August-02, 10:05
Ok here is what I did.
I won the Ace of hearts.
Then another heart from dummy and RHO SHOWS out. Now what do you do?
I won the Ace of hearts.
Then another heart from dummy and RHO SHOWS out. Now what do you do?
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
#4
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Posted 2006-August-02, 10:25
I'm pleased to see that my HQ won at trick 1.
What did RHO discard on your second heart (and indeed on my second heart, but I'm a trick better off)?
What did RHO discard on your second heart (and indeed on my second heart, but I'm a trick better off)?
#5
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Posted 2006-August-02, 10:32
RHO discards a club.
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
#6
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Posted 2006-August-02, 11:36
deleted
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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Lead is 6♥