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5 or 6? How aggressive do you feel

Poll: What's your call? (34 member(s) have cast votes)

What's your call?

  1. Double (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. 5D (9 votes [26.47%])

    Percentage of vote: 26.47%

  3. 6D (25 votes [73.53%])

    Percentage of vote: 73.53%

  4. Other (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 03:37

Matchpoints, love all, LH opponent opens.

Scoring: MP

1♠ P 4♠ ?


[Edited the vulnerability]
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#2 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 04:51

i voted 6, but at matchpoints 5 might be better
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
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#3 User is offline   paulg 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 04:55

I think 6♦ .. push them to the final guess and only let them have one chance. They seem likely to bid over 5♦ and will have a better idea what to do over 6♦ than I do over 5♠.

Paul
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I don't work for BBO and any advice is based on my BBO experience over the decades
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#4 User is online   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 05:14

Hi,

5D.

You need 2 cards to make 6D,
but most likely partner wont
have those cards.
And 5S is not making, ... in other words
I know what to do over 5S.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#5 User is offline   adhoc3 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 05:50

5 for me. But 66.7% voted for 6 so far. How many will bid 6D in a money tour? maybe 95%:rolleyes:)
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#6 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 05:58

6♦. Let them make the final (wrong hopefully) guess, and if you are left to play there, as little as ♦xx (not 32!) and ♣J10 may be enough.

Roland
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#7 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 06:33

6♦ seems fair. I got 11 tricks in most layouts and a fairly good shot at a 12th.
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#8 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 08:24

Walddk, on Jul 26 2006, 06:58 AM, said:

6♦. Let them make the final (wrong hopefully) guess, and if you are left to play there, as little as ♦xx (not 32!) and ♣J10 may be enough.

Roland

ditto
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#9 User is offline   hatchett 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 09:44

6♦

Even when it's not making some of the time the opponents are going to save in 6♠ which they presumably think will be cheap.
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#10 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 09:51

Its funny how different cliches can apply. :P

I think I'll 'stay fixed' with 5♦. I don't see why the opponents will take the push to 6♠ at equal colors, especially after they've pushed us to an uncomfortable level. While I have boundless respect for the opinions of Roland and Mike, I think they are really hoping for the opponents to rescue them from 6♦ with a phantom.

Assuming we have a spade loser, we are playing pard for a very specific card to make 12 tricks.

I'll take the $, thank you.
"Phil" on BBO
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#11 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 09:59

pclayton, on Jul 26 2006, 05:51 PM, said:

Assuming we have a spade loser, we are playing pard for a very specific card to make 12 tricks.

I also assume we have a spade loser, but I don't think it's extremely unreasonable if we find partner with something like

♠ xx
♥ Jxx
♦ xx
♣ Jxxxxx

Even with as little as that, 6♦ has play.

Roland
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#12 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 12:26

If 6 works out ok, this probably wouldn't be asked... 5♦ :wacko:
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#13 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2006-July-26, 12:48

Can I bid 5 1/2 D ?

OK since I can't, I'll just bid 6D on this freak hand and avoid the unpleasant decision of what to do over 5S if I bid 5D now.
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#14 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2006-July-27, 01:38

A huge vote in favour of bidding 6♦. My partner held the hand, and bid 6♦. He said afterwards he couldn't decide (at matchpoints) whether to bid 5 or 6, but he'd never jumped to slam in this auction before, so this seemed a good opportunity.

The readers here are a lot more aggressive than the average English club player (OK, I might have guessed that). From the frequencies I deduce that about 560 pairs overcalled 5D and either played there or defended 5Sx, and about 440 pairs overcalled 6D and played there. There are quite a few more results that aren't clear.

The winning action is 5♦, as partner's hand is not entirely suitable:

x
109xxxx
x
Jxxxx

Even opposite that pile of dross 6D has play (which implies it is indeed the correct call), but you have to lose a spade and a diamond.

Brian Senior, who wrote the commentary, didn't even mention the possibility of overcalling 6. But then he definitely wrote the commentary in a bit of a hurry, as some glaring mis-analysis on other boards shows.

Full details are at http://www.simpairs....?session=003996 (board 1)
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