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your lead
#1
Posted 2006-July-18, 10:42
JT63....96....9762....QJ7
MP
Your lead and why?
1H=2D
2H=3H
3S=4C
4D=4S
5D=6H
2D=Nat and game force
2h=6+ often
3h=slam try
3s, 4c, 4d=cue
4s=rkc for h
5d=2 without Q of h.
MP
Your lead and why?
1H=2D
2H=3H
3S=4C
4D=4S
5D=6H
2D=Nat and game force
2h=6+ often
3h=slam try
3s, 4c, 4d=cue
4s=rkc for h
5d=2 without Q of h.
#2
Posted 2006-July-18, 10:54
♠J, the least of evils I hope...
"It may be rude to leave to go to the bathroom, but it's downright stupid to sit there and piss yourself" - blackshoe
#3
Posted 2006-July-18, 11:21
Queen of clubs.
If they are playing Italian cues we'll probably take the first two tricks.
If they are playing Italian cues we'll probably take the first two tricks.
#4
Posted 2006-July-18, 11:30
FrancesHinden, on Jul 18 2006, 07:21 PM, said:
Queen of clubs.
If they are playing Italian cues we'll probably take the first two tricks.
If they are playing Italian cues we'll probably take the first two tricks.
♣Q looks automatic. It would be the lead without any information, and got more attractive on the bidding.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
#6
Posted 2006-July-18, 13:37
FrancesHinden, on Jul 18 2006, 12:21 PM, said:
Queen of clubs.
If they are playing Italian cues we'll probably take the first two tricks.
If they are playing Italian cues we'll probably take the first two tricks.
agreed: but double would be too much
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
#7
Posted 2006-July-18, 13:41
I am curious about the field......in a regular type game, the SJ looks likely....as nice as clubs are, they didnt try NT, and pard never had a chance to dbl for a S lead and your S holding is longer than C so less chance of setting up a slow 12th trick. Besides, 3S looks a bit "dubious" as it was a "last chance" below 3NT to show slam interest. It's just a misguided feeling perhaps....
The Grand Design, reflected in the face of Chaos...it's a fluke!
#8
Posted 2006-July-19, 02:35
Queen of clubs.
They will have discards
on the diamonds, so try to develop
your tricks.
With kind regards
Marlowe
They will have discards
on the diamonds, so try to develop
your tricks.
With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#9
Posted 2006-July-19, 04:51
♣Q does look automatic on the bidding...
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
#10
Posted 2006-July-19, 07:43
I also vote for the club Q.
If declarer can take six hearts five diamonds and one or both black aces, (or six hearts, four diamonds, and both black aces) there is nothing to discuss. It appears that we need to have a trick somewhere in either hearts or diamonds, (neither is likely, just necessary) and then cash a side trick, hopefully the king of clubs.
The case for a spade lead, I think, is this: Unless opener has rebid a Jack high suit, his spade and diamond cues cannot both be aces (since he has two keys w/o the Q). So grab the ace of spades before it goes away and then hope for the heart trick. The trouble with this is that the non-ace cuebid seems to me more likely to be diamonds. The 4D bid could well be on fitting cards such as Kx or Kxx, trusting that partner will trot out rkc to check before blasting into slam.
I realize that if the ace and king of hearts are split between the hands, we will get a trump trick only if the opponents hold something like Kx opposite ATxxxx. I wouldn't call this likely, but it seems possible.
If the spade cue was total smoke, he got me. It happens.
I await with baited breath the True Answer.
K
If declarer can take six hearts five diamonds and one or both black aces, (or six hearts, four diamonds, and both black aces) there is nothing to discuss. It appears that we need to have a trick somewhere in either hearts or diamonds, (neither is likely, just necessary) and then cash a side trick, hopefully the king of clubs.
The case for a spade lead, I think, is this: Unless opener has rebid a Jack high suit, his spade and diamond cues cannot both be aces (since he has two keys w/o the Q). So grab the ace of spades before it goes away and then hope for the heart trick. The trouble with this is that the non-ace cuebid seems to me more likely to be diamonds. The 4D bid could well be on fitting cards such as Kx or Kxx, trusting that partner will trot out rkc to check before blasting into slam.
I realize that if the ace and king of hearts are split between the hands, we will get a trump trick only if the opponents hold something like Kx opposite ATxxxx. I wouldn't call this likely, but it seems possible.
If the spade cue was total smoke, he got me. It happens.
I await with baited breath the True Answer.
K
Ken
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