Posted 2006-May-23, 10:45
I doubt that I could bring myself to pass as south... and if I were to open, my only choice would be 3♦. While possession of the ♠ suit would make traditionalists shudder at my bid, this hand screams for initial action: there is only one partner to preempt and two opponents.
I would take comfort in being red: my 1st seat red preempts at imps are sound, altho this is about as sound as I would ever want to be.
Then the pressure is on North: I think that N should forget about 3N... because 5♦ ought to be safe, and maybe safer than 3N if I lack the ♦K or Q.
4♣ by North would be (modified) keycard, and S's 4♠ bid would show 1 keycard with the ♦Q. Now I think that North signs off in 5♦.
Had I been able to bring myself to pass, N opens 2N and South makes a mild slam try in ♦... and I suspect that North, with a minimum count and poor ♦ (in context, especially opposite a hand that could not open a weak 2♦ or 3♦) will make whatever bid discourages slam... see jdonn for a useful treatment.
It is not clear what North should expect by way of ♦ after S passed: did S pass and then make his slam try on long, weak ♦ with chunky cards outside, or on this kind of offshape hand. If the former, then N has to shut it down: S could have a ♦ suit of Qxxxxxx... if the latter, then maybe, just maybe, North can take a call...but I doubt it.
What should S bid over a negative move? I think he should bid 5♦, rather than accept 4N... after all, if N has Jx ♦, there is no assurance that the ♦'s can be accessed: North need not hold AKx of ♠.. now N can infer that S has a good, long ♦ suit and a weird hand... so just maybe N can raise.. but I doubt it.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari