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Missing something obvious again? hold-up

#1 User is offline   grbradt 

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Posted 2006-April-25, 18:04

Here is an example from Watson's Play of the Hand. Contract is 3NT, and west opening lead is ♥4, and east plays ♥Q. Watson now comments that "By applying the Rule of Eleven on his own behalf, the Declarer can see that a hold-up in hearts will do him no good". I don't understand this, east has at least 3 hearts, but if suit divides 6-3 a hold-up would work if the spade finesse fails...I agree going up with the A and hoping the J-9 develop into a second stopper is probably the percentage play, but what does rule of eleven have to do with it?

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#2 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2006-April-26, 01:26

I also don't see why hearts can't be 6-3, although the odds favour them to be 5-4 (LHO can have 5 hearts in lots more ways than he can have 6, where he has to have the 432 of the suit if it's a genuine 4th highest).

Minor point: if you take the first heart, remember to start with the ace of spades in case RHO has singleton king.

Watson might have wondered what was wrong with 4S as a contract.
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