Have to ruff this second
♥ and now have a problem of how to avoid losing more than one
♠ trick.
Not sure I can make this if the K
♠ is offside as however I come back to hand to take the finesse, if RHO wins he can promote the J
♠ wherever it is by returning the A
♥.
So lets give west the K
♠ (singeton, doubleton or tripleton, but ignoring KJ doubleton as trivial);
If doubleton or tripleton, I can take the trump finesse, cash the ace but that leaves me with an
♥ loser which i can't discard on a
♦ before one opp ruffs in (unless the trump is with four diamonds which seems a pretty remote chance)
So I also need a ruffing fineese in clubs to pitch a heart. (If LHO has the K
♠ and the K
♣, it doesn't seem too unreasonable to give RHO the AK
♥ and the A
♣)
A hand that might jump to 4
♥ might be
xx
AKT98x
x
ATxx
Also I don't think I can make 4
♠ if they are 4-1 even if i manage to drop a stiff king offside (because eventually opps will promote a trump with a heart)
Therefore I've decided my simple line is going to be ruff small in dummy and advance the Q
♣, throwing the
♥ if the ace doesn't appear. Assuming I win,
♦ to hand,
♠ hook, cash the ace and play on diamonds if the spades are 3-2.
Finally if we have a singleton K
♠ with LHO, i need RHO to have 3
♦s to allow me to come to hand enough to draw trumps
I await the correct answer (but have just thought about Kxxx onside but its bedtime)
2♠ 4♥ 4♠ all pass