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This lead might matter

Poll: This lead might matter (14 member(s) have cast votes)

This lead might matter

  1. spade Q (1 votes [7.14%])

    Percentage of vote: 7.14%

  2. low spade (2 votes [14.29%])

    Percentage of vote: 14.29%

  3. heart K (3 votes [21.43%])

    Percentage of vote: 21.43%

  4. diamond 5 (8 votes [57.14%])

    Percentage of vote: 57.14%

  5. club king?? (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2006-January-14, 18:50

Scoring: IMP

P-(1♣)-1♦-(1NT)
2♦-(3♣)-P-3N
AP

In case it matters, your opponent's bidding hasn't exactly been sound so far. 3♣ is explained to be purely competitive.

(You play 2/4 and ♦5 would be the systemic lead in the suit, denying an honor.)

Arend
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#2 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2006-January-14, 19:01

I think that 2D is a bit of an underbid. Perhaps 3C (mixed raise?) would be best.

I'd lead the !d5 and leave the smart leads to the smart people.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#3 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2006-January-14, 20:27

agree 3c mixed raise.

Low spade, not the Q.

If they are bidding 3nt over a semi invite raise in D, the spade lead may be easier.
I hope partner is happy when I lead her bid suits but also happy when i lead 4th from my longest suit that was not bid but has honors in it.

Great test of partnership harmony and future?!
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#4 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2006-January-14, 21:21

i chose the ♥K..
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
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#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-January-15, 01:06

If opps are shooting, this time my club K say they seem to have gotten it right.

Lead ♥K, hoping for Axxx and a side ace in pard. Not THAT big of a prayer.
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#6 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2006-January-15, 03:17

♥K, to take away an entry for the long ♣s in dummy.
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#7 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2006-January-17, 08:53

This was my partner's problem. Whatever he did, you could blame me for the result, as my 1♦ overcall was extremely unhelpful: ♠K9xx ♥Ax ♦QT97x ♣xx.

Nevertheless, I think this would be an interesting problem opposite a saner partner than me. Obviously, opponents have 6 running tricks in clubs, likely a double stop in diamonds (can't imagine declarer having less then ♦AJx on this bidding), and an attacking lead seems indicated. I would choose ♠Q or ♥K.

Arend
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#8 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2006-January-17, 11:29

Arend - whats the entire hand? It seems the lead doesn't make a bit of difference; 1♠ + 2♦'s + 6♣'s.

I would have the Q♠ by the way. Seems cashing 4 hearts (our max) and another trick is not the key to beating the hand.
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#9 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2006-January-17, 12:40

pclayton, on Jan 17 2006, 07:29 PM, said:

Arend - whats the entire hand? It seems the lead doesn't make a bit of difference; 1♠ + 2♦'s + 6♣'s.

I would have the Q♠ by the way. Seems cashing 4 hearts (our max) and another trick is not the key to beating the hand.

Yes, ♠Q seems like a good shot.

The full layout is just about death penalty for the diamond lead (sorry, don't remember all the spots right now):

I think a more typical example where the spade lead is essential would be ♦AJT with declarer opposite ♦x in dummy and a similar layout in the majors.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#10 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-January-18, 04:22

LOL, funny hand.

A diamond was the sort of unlucky lead Kantar could have made :rolleyes:
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