Flame, on Jan 9 2006, 09:25 AM, said:
dcvetkov, on Jan 9 2006, 08:33 AM, said:
Squeeze will still win if diamonds are 5-3
This is not exactly true, yes the double squeeze will work if west has 5 diamonds and east has the K of heart, but what if west got the K of heart ? then you would want a
♦♥ simple squeeze on west, but you wont make it cause you went for the double squeeze not the simple squeeze and played the A
♥ earlier.
Anyway my point is you are still playing for not better then 50% (here u play on K
♥ on the right) so, the heart finnese isnt a bad line.
Yes, I agree, but the decision is very close. I dont know if anybody can work out the actual percentages which layout is more likely. With QJ10xx
♦ and K
♥ and K
♣, West will have a legitimate 1
♦ overcall over 1club, so that is maybe one inference. He already showed 6 points, so probably placing the other king in East is a slightly better percentage play, also if you can figure out that East has 4 hearts, he is a 4:3 favorite to hold K
♥.
Another option is if you have high enough heart in hand for threat, like 10 or 9, to place Queen of hearts on the table early and test West. If he does not cover, and plays in tempo, win the ace, ruff diamond, and play for the double S. Just a thought;).
Mitko