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Clear Thinking Revisited: Part 2 No guarantee

#1 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2005-December-30, 10:52

Scoring: IMP

The bidding is quick and to the point.

1N-4N-6N
Opening lead: spade 8.


Trick 1: Spade 8, Q, 2, 9
Trick 2: Spade 4, 3, A, 7
Trick 3: Club K, 8, 2, 6
Trick 4: Club 4, J, A, 9.
Trick 5: ?


What line of play gives you the best chance to make and what is your reasoning? Probably best for advanced/expert to use hidden text.

Winston

Edited with thanks to Trumpace for pointing out the error.
"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."
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#2 User is offline   Trumpace 

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Posted 2005-December-30, 12:40

J?

If clubs divided 3-3 or diamonds divide 3-2 we are making it. In case they both dont, we can try for a miinor suits squeeze. The J rectifies the count.

The only problem is a spade return after losing J, we have to decide what to discard from dummy. Discarding a diamond gives up chances of picking up 4 diamonds with West and 4 clubs with East. Discarding a club gives up 3-3 clubs.

Maybe I shouldn't have played three rounds of spades.. probably J at trick 2 would have been better.

Anyway, I just woke up, so I am not even able to tell if I am way off (which is probably the case)
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