Good hand. I tried to come up with an answer in the time I might take at the table in a tough match. So much for the excuses
Win the
♠A.
If the K drops stiff (highly unlikely) then you can make it even if LHO holds QJx of
♣: you cash your major winners, ending in dummy and squeezing LHO out of a
♦ winner before exiting in
♦. However, in the end game you must decide whether to play LHO for QJx or to play for split honours in
♣.
So if the K
♠ drops, run the
♣10.
If the K does not drop (and it will not): play the
♣10 (or 9).
If it is ducked, float to RHO and hope the
♠K is onside.
If it is covered: win and play a
♣ to the A.
This caters to QJ tight: making the contract even when the
♠K is offside.
Why not apply restricted choice and hook the 7
♣ on the way back? This is an interesting question.
If LHO holds the
♠K, he should not cover from J8 or Q8, since you might go right by playing low to the 9 next. But if you would play low to the 7, he breaks even by covering. If he does NOT hold the
♠K, he must cover with J8 or Q8: to give the defence any chance he has to hope that you will play low to the 7 next time.
These J8 or Q8 holdings render pure restricted choice inapplicable.
If the LHO shows out, play a
♥ to the Q and a
♣ up. RHO must win and his best defence (if he holds the
♠K) is to return a
♥. You win in dummy, giving up on your 4th
♥, and lead a
♠ to the Q.
You make 2
♠, 3
♥ and 4
♣.
You frequently lose an overtrick imp: maybe 2 if the
♠ hook works and the
♣ are 4-1 with stiff honour on your left, but I think this line maximizes the chances of making.
BTW, this would have made this one of the slowest boards I have ever played!
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
1NT (strong) P 2♣ P
2♦ P 3NT all pass