Is It a Guess Lead Question
#1
Posted 2015-February-12, 13:32
1d - 2c - 2n - 3n ap
opps are playing acol
QJ62
Kj65
T6
T92
is there a clear reason to lead one major rather than another or is this a guess? or should i lead a minor?
scoring is MP
many thanks,
Eagles
#2
Posted 2015-February-12, 15:42
At MP, where not giving away a trick can be just as important as setting them, I would
lead the heart Q on the theory that LHO has a long suit and is therefore less likely
to table an inconvenient H(T9)x holding or even Hxx).
#3
Posted 2015-February-13, 02:25
the normal lead is an unbid suit, given say have bid the minors,
the normal lead is a major.
Spades is your better suit, you need less from partner to avoid
blowing a trick, basically the 10 is enough, if partner has the
Ace of hearts, your chances of getting 4 are really good, i.e.
if you want to set the contract quickly this is your best chance.
Most likely clubs are breaking either 33 or 32, i.e. they have a
source of tricks.
So from this ... at MP a spade, at IMPs a heart.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#4
Posted 2015-February-13, 02:48
London UK
#5
Posted 2015-February-13, 06:10
gordontd, on 2015-February-13, 02:48, said:
I know the hand as I was sitting opposite eagles123, but is leading the better suit always right ? Here if partner has K♠, the K♥ might get you in to cash the 4th one, if partner has the Q♥, it's less likely the spades will be an entry. This is probably more of an IMPs argument than a MPs one, but I think it still applies to some extent.
#6
Posted 2015-February-13, 14:51
eagles123, on 2015-February-12, 13:32, said:
1d - 2c - 2n - 3n ap
opps are playing acol
QJ62
Kj65
T6
T92
is there a clear reason to lead one major rather than another or is this a guess? or should i lead a minor?
scoring is MP
many thanks,
Eagles
Without doubt the ♠Q, even if the bidding were 1NT-3NT. Leading from KJ is extremely dangerous and results in loss of a trick way too often. QJxx without the 10 or 9 is also not optimal but a notch up, and just as likely to hurt them. Plus, heart K is a better potential entry.
Have you read David Bird's book?
#7
Posted 2015-February-14, 12:27
gszes, on 2015-February-12, 15:42, said:
At MP, where not giving away a trick can be just as important as setting them, I would
lead the heart Q on the theory that LHO has a long suit and is therefore less likely
to table an inconvenient H(T9)x holding or even Hxx).
Now if we can just get this gszes guy to actually READ the hand properly these ramblings might
begin to make some sort of sense. Mumble grumble AT IMPS our best shot is quick tricks on a hand
where the splits look favorable for the opps. I would lead a HEART.
At MP where giving up a trick can be just as disastrous as setting the contract can be positive, I would
choose the spade Q. Dummy is less likely to have an inconvenient holding like (A or K)[(T or 9) x or even
xx]. The spade suit still has chances of being the best lead and gives up a trick less often.
I think the commentary now matches the hand shown in the OP sorry about that.
#8
Posted 2015-February-14, 14:23
London UK
#9
Posted 2015-February-14, 15:03
KJxx was almost the worst holding in bridge to lead from in (both) Bird and Anthias' books.
#10
Posted 2015-February-15, 03:19
Cyberyeti, on 2015-February-13, 06:10, said:
Possibly not, but I was responding to the post that said:
P_Marlowe, on 2015-February-13, 02:25, said:
By all means choose to lead spades, but not for that reason.
London UK
#11
Posted 2015-February-15, 04:04
gordontd, on 2015-February-15, 03:19, said:
By all means choose to lead spades, but not for that reason.
I wrote it, maybe I should have used "safer" instead of "better", but I also
explained why I thought spade the "better" suit.
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#12
Posted 2015-February-15, 04:48
#13
Posted 2015-March-02, 09:03
#14
Posted 2015-March-02, 09:38
eagles123, on 2015-February-12, 13:32, said:
Opps are playing acol. We are silent opps bidding is:
(1♦) - (2♣) -
(2N) - (3N) AP
Is there a clear reason to lead one major rather than another?
or is this a guess?
or should i lead a minor?