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Lead problem

#1 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2018-March-18, 06:10

Matchpoints.


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#2 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2018-March-18, 09:10

View Postnullve, on 2018-March-18, 06:10, said:


Matchpoints.
I rank
  • ♠J = Pedestrian.
  • ♣2 = Cut down ruffs -- assuming dummy is short of ♠s.
  • ♣J = DItto.
  • ♦6 = 4th highest of longest suit :)
  • ♥J = Likely to be dummy's 4-card suit, so might help declarer.




Guthrie.tech
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#3 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2018-March-18, 09:11

Not creative enough to lead anything but a spade. If I were to step out its the club J
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#4 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2018-March-19, 10:42

I sat South and led something that looked fairly normal but cost a trick. It was only hours later, after a nap, that I realised what I should have led, and why.
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#5 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2018-March-20, 07:40

small spade highly unlikely the spade J can ever help any but a low spade might be useful if a stiff honor appears in dummy. A spade lead probably wont hurt and it wont give anything away declarer cannot do for themselves.
hate the club lead due to frozen suit possibility
heart lead seems like we are giving up a possible tempo for little reward
dia lead seems counter productive since that is the lead most likely to cost a trick
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#6 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2018-March-20, 15:55

The hand may look like it should have been posted in the Boring Bridge Hands forum, but (hint:)
Spoiler

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#7 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2018-March-22, 01:28

Spoiler

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#8 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2018-March-22, 12:18

I'm leading a ♠.

I don't like either a ♥ lead or a trump lead. A ♥ has too much danger of giving up a trick when declarer has something like Axxx opposite Qx. A trump lead may give up a tempo and especially holding an honor may enable declarer to pickup the trump suit.

If you decide to lead a ♦, then maybe ♦ 9 is better than ♦ 6 to protect against dummy holding something like ♦ J107 or ♦ K107 where declarer could use the rule of 11 to realize that the play of the ♦ 7 will force partner's honor.
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#9 User is offline   ahydra 

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Posted 2018-March-22, 14:12

The subtlety of nullve's hints is lost on me. I'm with the others in leading the ♠J.

ahydra
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#10 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2018-March-22, 15:55

If you bid 3S you wouldn't have to worry about the lead. :)
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#11 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2018-March-29, 05:33

In my corner of the multiverse:


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