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Grand Aspirations

#21 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2017-November-25, 12:39

View Postlamford, on 2017-November-25, 11:18, said:

It is very easy to say this without suggesting an alternative. 3H will get the dummy opposite KQx x KQxxx xxxx. And double will get partner to pass with KQx xxx KQx QJTx. I surveyed the 4 top players in the London Superleague and they all thought 4H was automatic. Quite frankly, other bids are awful.


And 4 will get you the dummy opposite KQxxx, void, Q9xx, QJ10x meaning you play in the game that doesn't make rather than either of the 2 that do.

No bid is perfect, they all have pluses and minuses.
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#22 User is offline   Joe_Old 

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Posted 2017-November-25, 17:26

Apparently there is a dispute between US and British (Acol?) players as whether to treat the example hand as worthy of a jump shift. A systemic argument. Here, a 3 call by a 2/1 player will get you to a makable slam. The actual 4 call didn't. A victory for 2/1.

One hand doesn't prove anything, but I haven't heard any theoretical arguments to make me believe that a jump shift on that hand is superior in the long run.
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#23 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2017-November-25, 18:22

View PostJoe_Old, on 2017-November-25, 17:26, said:

Apparently there is a dispute between US and British (Acol?) players as whether to treat the example hand as worthy of a jump shift. A systemic argument. Here, a 3 call by a 2/1 player will get you to a makable slam. The actual 4 call didn't. A victory for 2/1.

One hand doesn't prove anything, but I haven't heard any theoretical arguments to make me believe that a jump shift on that hand is superior in the long run.


Sorry, not sure quite what you're on, try reading the OP, this is NOTHING to do with anything you've stated, this is an overcall, a jump SHIFT is a response.

System is completely and utterly irrelevant, this is hand evaluation and judgment.
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#24 User is offline   Joe_Old 

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Posted 2017-November-25, 21:27

View PostCyberyeti, on 2017-November-25, 18:22, said:

Sorry, not sure quite what you're on, try reading the OP, this is NOTHING to do with anything you've stated, this is an overcall, a jump SHIFT is a response.

System is completely and utterly irrelevant, this is hand evaluation and judgment.


Actually, if you read my posts (2), you'd know that I was in complete agreement with you. I guess you're not ......

OKay - not "jump shift" - jump overcall. Point is that in the 2/1 system that I'm familiar with, West's 4 call was an overbid. Obviously other systems have other definitions.

And this is definitely systemic. Jump overcalls over pre-empts have definite systemic meanings. It may be a matter of judgment as to whether a particular call fits the systemic meaning, but that doesn't change the fact that the system has defined the call. lamford and the players he polled obviously accept a definition of a jump overcall that includes hands weaker than you or MrAce will accept.

MrAce claims (I agree) that the best use of a 4 bid in the given situation is "a self sufficient suit and not much sympathy to play in another suit". I'd like to know from lamford, or anyone else, why another systemic definition will yield better results over the long term.
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#25 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2017-November-26, 03:28

View Postlamford, on 2017-November-25, 11:18, said:

It is very easy to say this without suggesting an alternative. 3H will get the dummy opposite KQx x KQxxx xxxx. And double will get partner to pass with KQx xxx KQx QJTx. I surveyed the 4 top players in the London Superleague and they all thought 4H was automatic. Quite frankly, other bids are awful.


To me only call is DBL. Oh and if pd passes with KQx xxx KQx QJTx, despite missing our 10 card fit, we collect a reasonable +500 or +800 instead of probably going down at 5 level or going +620 +650 after strong 4 bid and we survive not getting too high. Such a big deal?
How about the times when our side does not have 10 card fit, you and your top players go ahead and figure it out Posted Image
You can ask many top players in USA and they will explain you the difference between direct 4 overcall vs DBL followed by 4 the wau i did.

Over 3
4 = I have a very good suit and not much tolerance to play another suit. ( Ax AKJT9xx x Axx)
DBL followed by 4 = I have a good suit but I have tolerance to play another suit. ( KQx AQJxxx AK xx )
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#26 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2017-November-26, 04:23

View PostJoe_Old, on 2017-November-25, 21:27, said:

change the fact that the system has defined the call. lamford and the players he polled obviously accept a definition of a jump overcall that includes hands weaker than you or MrAce will accept.

MrAce claims (I agree) that the best use of a 4 bid in the given situation is "a self sufficient suit and not much sympathy to play in another suit". I'd like to know from lamford, or anyone else, why another systemic definition will yield better results over the long term.


I think pretty much everybody agrees what they'd like 4 to be but you then have to adapt it to what you're dealt.

The principle that a jump overcall over a preempt is a one suited good hand is not really in dispute, it's a question of how good and how good a suit is required.

AK 7th is borderline on suit and the side 4oM is a possible issue. This was what I was saying about judgment rather than system, make the hand Axxx, AKJ10xxx, Jx, void and I suspect you'd get much more agreement on 4 so it's not that far away.
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#27 User is offline   Joe_Old 

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Posted 2017-November-26, 09:31

View PostCyberyeti, on 2017-November-26, 04:23, said:


AK 7th is borderline on suit and the side 4oM is a possible issue. This was what I was saying about judgment rather than system, make the hand Axxx, AKJ10xxx, Jx, void and I suspect you'd get much more agreement on 4 so it's not that far away.


AKxxxxx being "borderline" is a judgment call. Personally, I don't think it's good enough. The strong 4 card suit (and imo any 4 card suit headed by an Ace), however, takes this hand completely out of the definition. There is also the matter of the hand not being quite strong enough (6 tricks opposite a useless dummy). If this is only a judgment call, then the 4 bidders are using very poor judgment because they settle for a game where East can make 6NT and either hand can make 7 or 7.

But, I'm not willing to state that lamford and the players he polled are purely wrong. I'd like to hear why they feel the usual definition of the jump overcall over a pre-empt should be modified, because so far I haven't seen any good reasons expressed. My position is that even considering that the example hand qualifies for a 4 call requires a major adjustment to the definition.
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#28 User is offline   Tramticket 

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Posted 2017-November-26, 11:32

View PostJoe_Old, on 2017-November-26, 09:31, said:

AKxxxxx being "borderline" is a judgment call. Personally, I don't think it's good enough. The strong 4 card suit (and imo any 4 card suit headed by an Ace), however, takes this hand completely out of the definition. There is also the matter of the hand not being quite strong enough (6 tricks opposite a useless dummy). If this is only a judgment call, then the 4 bidders are using very poor judgment because they settle for a game where East can make 6NT and either hand can make 7 or 7.

But, I'm not willing to state that lamford and the players he polled are purely wrong. I'd like to hear why they feel the usual definition of the jump overcall over a pre-empt should be modified, because so far I haven't seen any good reasons expressed. My position is that even considering that the example hand qualifies for a 4 call requires a major adjustment to the definition.


The opponents have pre-empted. You have many potential hand types to describe and limited space to make the descriptions. As I suggested above, I would bid 4 with the OP hand. I accept that this is a dead minimum and I accept that I am gambling that partner will have a little something to help. I also accept that this means that 4 covers a wide range of hands. It is of course possible to define the boundary between 3/4 a little higher. The trade-off is that a 3 bid is now a wider range (we don't like to sell out to a 3 pre-empt) and partner will sometimes be left with a guess whether to bid one more. As has been said, it is a judgement and I certainly wouldn't pretend that I get all judgements right!

Similarly it is a difficult judgement whether to double with 7-4 in the majors. If you bid hearts you might sometime miss a better contract in spades or no trumps. If you double, you may have to guess whether to show the hearts at a later turn. My judgement here is to show the seven-card suit.

It is a tricky hand - that is why we pre-empt.
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#29 User is offline   Joe_Old 

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Posted 2017-November-26, 15:54

View PostTramticket, on 2017-November-26, 11:32, said:

The opponents have pre-empted. You have many potential hand types to describe and limited space to make the descriptions. As I suggested above, I would bid 4 with the OP hand. I accept that this is a dead minimum and I accept that I am gambling that partner will have a little something to help. I also accept that this means that 4 covers a wide range of hands. It is of course possible to define the boundary between 3/4 a little higher. The trade-off is that a 3 bid is now a wider range (we don't like to sell out to a 3 pre-empt) and partner will sometimes be left with a guess whether to bid one more. As has been said, it is a judgement and I certainly wouldn't pretend that I get all judgements right!

Similarly it is a difficult judgement whether to double with 7-4 in the majors. If you bid hearts you might sometime miss a better contract in spades or no trumps. If you double, you may have to guess whether to show the hearts at a later turn. My judgement here is to show the seven-card suit.

It is a tricky hand - that is why we pre-empt.


The problem with your argument is that you are stretching to reach skinny games (against known distributional hands) when you're missing cold grands because partner is afraid to act. I don't think that's a satisfactory trade-off.
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#30 User is offline   GrahamJson 

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Posted 2017-November-26, 16:02

View PostJoe_Old, on 2017-November-25, 17:26, said:

Apparently there is a dispute between US and British (Acol?) players as whether to treat the example hand as worthy of a jump shift. A systemic argument. Here, a 3 call by a 2/1 player will get you to a makable slam. The actual 4 call didn't. A victory for 2/1.

One hand doesn't prove anything, but I haven't heard any theoretical arguments to make me believe that a jump shift on that hand is superior in the long run.

I play regularly with two partners. 2/1 with one and Acol with the other. However in this case system is irrelevant. Its about coping with a pre-empt. 4H is the obvious bid for two reasons; if you dont bid hearts no-one else is going to; you would overcall 3H on a much lesser hand, so can hardly make the same bid on this hand.
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#31 User is offline   lamford 

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Posted 2017-November-26, 16:11

View PostMrAce, on 2017-November-26, 03:28, said:

Oh and if pd passes with KQx xxx KQx QJTx, despite missing our 10 card fit, we collect a reasonable +500 or +800 instead of probably going down at 5 level

I think you would be as unlucky as Karapet to go down at the 5-level there. Given that 6H is cold as long as trumps are 2-1 and diamonds not 6-1. And if partner's trumps are worse, he will still pass and you may only get 200. And double followed by 4H shows a better hand than this in the UK anyway.
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#32 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2017-November-28, 02:36

East really can't quite find a bid once West bids 4 . The bidding has taken away too much space to determine that there are not 2 losers especially with East's void in .

If, as lamford asserts, 4 would be the consensus bid and weaker than DBL followed by 4 bid, expecting to find the necessary black suit controls and quality seems like a stretch.
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#33 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2017-November-28, 09:06

View Postrmnka447, on 2017-November-28, 02:36, said:

If, as lamford asserts, 4 would be the consensus bid and weaker than DBL followed by 4 bid, expecting to find the necessary black suit controls and quality seems like a stretch.


Strain is much more important than how many little more beans you have or not for most top players. Bidding 4 with side 4 card spade is at best...bizarre imo.



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#34 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2017-November-28, 10:42

View PostMrAce, on 2017-November-28, 09:06, said:

Strain is much more important than how many little more beans you have or not for most top players. Bidding 4 with side 4 card spade is at best...bizarre imo.


There are a few problems I have with 4H.

First, it overstates the hand - a bit.
Second, it overemphasizes the heart suit - a bit.
Third, it unilaterally commits to a heart game when that may not be best.

A bid over a 3-level preempt should not be considered as competitive but as an attempt to reach game. When the goal is reaching game, finding the right game becomes important. IMO, 3H serves these goals better than 4H.
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#35 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2017-November-28, 15:59

View PostWinstonm, on 2017-November-28, 10:42, said:

There are a few problems I have with 4H.

First, it overstates the hand - a bit.
Second, it overemphasizes the heart suit - a bit.
Third, it unilaterally commits to a heart game when that may not be best.

A bid over a 3-level preempt should not be considered as competitive but as an attempt to reach game. When the goal is reaching game, finding the right game becomes important. IMO, 3H serves these goals better than 4H.


I don't get how this (3) will help when respondent had KQxx Void Jxxxxx xxx instead of AKQxxx . (Or any other hand with 5-6 spades but not enough values to bid over 3) But I admit it is still much better than 4. for me.
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#36 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2017-November-28, 16:58

View PostMrAce, on 2017-November-28, 15:59, said:

I don't get how this (3) will help when respondent had KQxx Void Jxxxxx xxx instead of AKQxxx . (Or any other hand with 5-6 spades but not enough values to bid over 3) But I admit it is still much better than 4. for me.


It doesn't get to a doubled contract - but it does get you to a 7-2 fit.

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#37 User is offline   Lovera 

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Posted 2017-December-07, 04:21

If you exclude more 3 than 4 it being a combo between them perhaps it will be more difficult for double or Michaels.
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