BBO Discussion Forums: Opps preempt and we got a problem - BBO Discussion Forums

Jump to content

Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

Opps preempt and we got a problem

Poll: Opps preempt and we got a problem (13 member(s) have cast votes)

Bid?

  1. pass wtp (5 votes [38.46%])

    Percentage of vote: 38.46%

  2. dbl (lebenshol by 6th applies) (8 votes [61.54%])

    Percentage of vote: 61.54%

  3. 2NT (12-16... lol) (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   whereagles 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 14,900
  • Joined: 2004-May-11
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Portugal
  • Interests:Everything!

Posted 2015-January-04, 07:40

MPs. Adv/expert field.


Yucky holding in hearts, but you do have take out shape and it's MPs.

Will you bid? See above for meaning of bids.
0

#2 User is offline   whereagles 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 14,900
  • Joined: 2004-May-11
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Portugal
  • Interests:Everything!

Posted 2015-January-10, 12:26

Pass is the winner. Moving on leads to at least -300 on normal defense.

Partner had

Q94
8653
AJT7
93



0

#3 User is offline   WesleyC 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 878
  • Joined: 2009-June-28
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Australia

Posted 2015-January-10, 23:28

I would double at IMPs, although I think its a tossup at MPs.
0

#4 User is offline   the hog 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 10,728
  • Joined: 2003-March-07
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Laos
  • Interests:Wagner and Bridge

Posted 2015-January-11, 00:30

Pass. You effectively have an 8 count.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
0

#5 User is offline   mr1303 

  • Admirer of Walter the Walrus
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 2,558
  • Joined: 2003-November-14
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
  • Interests:Bridge, surfing, water skiing, cricket, golf. Generally being outside really.

Posted 2015-January-11, 00:48

I doubled, thinking it close.
0

#6 User is offline   gszes 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 3,653
  • Joined: 2011-February-12

Posted 2015-January-13, 09:44

PASS while the reasoning is a bit simplistic let's look at the problem from a
mathematical point of view. Let's give P a very generous 10 count and that means
we will have to probably play something at the 3 level. This means we own 18
of the 30 hcp outside hearts. Assuming we lose 2 heart tricks that means we
need to win at least 8 (for only down 1) of the last 11 tricks. The power ratio
is in our favor 3/2 but that means the tricks are likely split 7/4 in our favor.

Note that this assumes the opps dont x and that down 1 is to be considered a
success. That means to take action with this generally unexceptional hand we
start off with a 35% shot (we need 8/3 only have 7/4) at a decent or better
outcome if we play the hand.

Since we have good heart spots it is very unlikely p has any and will almost
always pull so to take action here seems doomed from the get go--at IMPS there is
so little upside and such huge risk (mitigated to only 1 board at MP) it borders
on hugely desparate to act under these conditions:)))))
0

#7 User is offline   MrAce 

  • VIP Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 6,971
  • Joined: 2009-November-14
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Houston, TX

Posted 2015-January-13, 11:58

Sorry guys but I have been holding my breath for a long time about this.

Why is it that some people find the correct action, right after the OP revealed pd's hand, 7 and 9 days later, and why no reply was posted in this topic until then? I have seen those who replied now, was in BBF last 1 week and posting to other topics.

I do not mean that the comments after hands are revealed are worthless. But it really gets annoying when some of us do it a lot more than what would reasonably be considered as coincidence.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





1

Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users