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Worth a vul accept?

#1 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2014-December-21, 15:14

Tx
ATxx
xx
Kxxxx

Unfav, teams, you dealer. The bidding unfolds thusly:

P 1S /
1N 3S

Do you raise?
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#2 User is offline   PhilKing 

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Posted 2014-December-21, 15:32

Were there a poll, I would expect a unanimous vote for 4 - you have 3 positive features, which is easily enough.
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#3 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2014-December-21, 15:49

Put it this way: I would accept nv
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#4 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-December-21, 19:31

"Always ready!!" - shadow voice in warlords battlecry
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#5 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2014-December-21, 20:46

Wouldn't even blink an eyelash before accepting VUL at IMPs.
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#6 User is offline   The_Badger 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 04:12

With one-and-a-half quick tricks opposite a 3 rebid, and a 5-4-2-2 shape, I believe the game is marginal but certainly biddable. Partner's probably got 6-3-3-2 himself. It might be easier to cobble together 9 tricks in no-trumps, but you must honour partner's suit and bid 4.

To me, there's an element of too many losers between the 2 hands, and if partner has a mediocre 16 or 17 count without top controls, 4 may go down, but you don't win bridge matches by passing on such hands in my opinion.
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#7 User is offline   fourdad 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 06:50

BID IT!!
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#8 User is offline   bdegrande 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 06:57

Yes, not close, I accept even white.
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#9 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 07:19

To all: what's the minimum change you'd have to make to the hand to make it a pass?
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#10 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 07:27

Why is this posted? It is a 4S bid red, white or purple.
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#11 User is offline   daffydoc 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 08:00

change club king to queen and I pass as is a clear accept
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#12 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 08:25

View Postdaffydoc, on 2014-December-22, 08:00, said:

change club king to queen and I pass as is a clear accept


That feels like quite a significant change. For eg, you could change the club king to the QJ, and my guess is people would still pass?

I think I phrased it misleadingly with 'minimum change'. What I meant to ask is something like 'adjusting the hand so it's as close as possible to the OP hand in playing strength, what is the strongest recognisable version of it on which you'd pass?'
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#13 User is offline   Trump Echo 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 09:09

Yes... Kxxxx raise

QJxxx pass.

MHO
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#14 User is offline   brettnj 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 09:20

Are you kidding? An Ace, a King, and an 8-loser hand.
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#15 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 10:01

I accept as I have an ace and a king and a potentially useful doubleton. Perhaps my 5 can prove useful. I'd expect to be near 50/50 to make game vs a typical invite.
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#16 User is offline   AyunuS 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 15:43

Why wouldn't you go for it? You have 8 points (counting the doubleton), partner probably has 17, so you have a combined 25. And all of yours are useful so there's no reason to underbid it. Unless maybe if your opponents are using some strong pass system where you know one of them has a strong hand or something like that, but I don't think that's the case.
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#17 User is offline   johnu 

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Posted 2014-December-22, 20:52

Pass, RHO has a trump stack and 4 is off one. If you hadn't overheard the result from the adjoining table, 4.
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#18 User is offline   Roby 

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Posted 2014-December-23, 10:12

Bid game. The vulnerability makes the game even more attractive because of the bigger game bonus. Remove one small heart or club and put it in diamonds and I will pass. We could still make a 3NT contract on some hands but to bid all filthy games in sight is losing bridge.
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#19 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2014-December-23, 14:48

Just don't expect this to be cold.

Also, make sure you partner isn't jumping around with 15's.
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#20 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2014-December-23, 15:46

View PostPhil, on 2014-December-23, 14:48, said:

Just don't expect this to be cold.

Also, make sure you partner isn't jumping around with 15's.

Depends on the 15:)

Obviously whether we land in a good game depends on the degree of mesh between our hands, and we have no way of finding that out. However, we have an Ace, a King, the trump 10x, and a potential ruff. The odds are good that our 4 plus features, when partner won't be expecting more than 1 or 2, are enough to give us play.

To give one easy example: give partner AQJxxx and our 10 allows us to advance the 10 and remain in dummy should the K be onside (assuming no cover), while xx would mean finding 2 entries to dummy to pick up Kxx onside. Little edges like that have real value.
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