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Pard preempt and opps butt-in

#1 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-September-27, 02:52

Here's another one. National team trials, IMPs.





Preempt is classic style, so for once no junky suit :)


What now?
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#2 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2014-September-27, 04:06

Pass. Things are breaking badly for them, so we might set 4S, and we're likely to be at least -3 in 5. Plus after all this bidding, there's little chance we'll bounce them.

(ETA) -3 is clearly drivel.
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#3 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2014-September-27, 04:17

I don't agree that 5h is likely to be 3 off at least. We know p has at most 1 spade and x kqxxxx xxx Kxx 5h is virtually cold.
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#4 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2014-September-27, 06:00

Yeah, my arithmetic broke there.
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#5 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2014-September-27, 07:42

why don't we have a way to bid clubs over the double, as lead-directing? Surely nobody plays 4 as an offer to play?

Anyway, pass seems clear....we have a good chance of going plus here, and expecting 5 to make seems optimistic.

As for partner having only a stiff spade....has no-one here ever doubled on 3=2=4=4 shape?
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#6 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2014-September-27, 23:17

5c

Yes I see the reasonable chance we will set 4s for a probable
tiny plus score. I am more than willing to trade that for a
chance at a making 5h or a much better lead if the opps continue
to 5s where I would be happier trying for a much larger plus via x.
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#7 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-September-29, 09:38

Thx all. Full hand:




This has no "solution"... 4 makes, but single-dummy it is likely to fail. In the same way, 5 can either go 1 or 2 down depending on how it goes.


I think I would have passed with South's hand. Likely 3 tricks (RHO's double makes him a fav for K) and the stacked spades can make it hard for declarer. Plus LHO was under pressure, so he might have taken a leap of faith. Which, looking at his hand, he has.
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