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Your lead 2/1 ACBL

Poll: Your lead (10 member(s) have cast votes)

Your lead

  1. K Hearts (2 votes [20.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 20.00%

  2. 6 Hearts (3 votes [30.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 30.00%

  3. Spade (4 votes [40.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 40.00%

  4. Diamond (1 votes [10.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 10.00%

  5. Something else (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   dickiegera 

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Posted 2014-August-04, 07:30

What is the best lead?

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#2 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-August-04, 07:44

On bird/anthias grounds, my guess is statistical lead rates to be a spade, with heart king (not small) close.
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#3 User is offline   monikrazy 

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Posted 2014-August-04, 08:52

I haven't read the bird book. I've got:

1. 3 ♦
2. 6♠
3. 4♣
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#4 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2014-August-04, 09:26

low Heart
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#5 User is offline   BillPatch 

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Posted 2014-August-05, 06:41

Simulated hand 200 times using Jack6.
lead average tricks set contract
6♠ 2.645 8.0%
K♥ 2.86 7.5%
6♥ 2.60 6.0%
3♦ 2.67 8.0%
4♣ 2.645 8.0%
This sample implies that K♥ is the best lead at MP. The actual 3 way tie for setting contract with
K♥ close behind implies that there is no clear leader at IMPS, but based on a similar hand in Bird/
Anthias I would bet that K♥ is best there too, with 6♠ second best.
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#6 User is offline   BillPatch 

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Posted 2014-August-05, 08:32

Simulated hand an additional 200 for a sample size of 400 just on % set contract
6♠ 8.75%
K♥ 8.75%
6♥ 6.5%
3♦7.5%
4♣ 7.5%
dead heat between ♠ and k♥ for best lead at IMPS.
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