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Taking advantage of poor defence but then messing it up

#1 User is offline   Phil352 

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Posted 2012-June-19, 09:44

Dealer S Green vs Red



You arrive in 3 after the auction
1S (x) 2S (P)
3S AP

Play:
4 5 Q 2
7 A 9 6
7 A 2 3
5 6 A 4
9 2 A! 4
J (7) 8 3

So I'm in dummy with

3
K98
-
Kx


KQ108
-
10
Qx

Now I suspected trumps were 1-4 from auction and fact that E hadn't continued them after winning ace/west didn't play another when they won the A.

Do you bite the bullet and play a spade to the 10 straight away or do you play for the trump coup with RHO having 4333? or is there another line?
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#2 User is offline   SteveMoe 

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Posted 2012-June-23, 02:43

The play in the suit is peculiar. Any AJ10 in LHO garner's a duck, not an Ace to the 1st trick. Have to assume LHO holds something like A10x (or A10 or AJ). Doubletons don't really fit a first action takeout double so I presume RHO led from J9x and LHO holds A10x. A10xx is NOT possible as RHO would not lead 9 from J9. So if the cards are true, s are 3-3.

s appear to be 4=5=3=1 around the table (LHO to declarer).
s survived 3 rounds.

I think I'm playing the K pitching my 10. Ruff a then Q and to dummy's K. Assuming all that lives, I lead a for the ruff with the 10.
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#3 User is offline   Phil352 

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Posted 2012-June-23, 07:48

I played the same line Steve except you can afford to cash the K after ruffing the first heart to check that trumps are 4-1. However as the title of the thread may suggest LHO had AJ10xx and RHO 9x so I went off whereas if I'd just played a spade to the 10 I'd have been home.

I think I took too much inference from the opening lead. LHO had led a low diamond so i immediately had assigned her 4 diamonds. However after she turns up with both aces I should have stopped and allowed for only 3 diamonds. Coupled with the lack of spade continuations from the defence I'm convinced I would have been better off allowing for poor defence in clubs (this was just a regular club night), and playing a spade to the 10 straight away. Even if spades are 2-3 i'm 66% (possibly more as would they shift to a spade from Jx?)
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#4 User is offline   kgr 

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Posted 2012-June-23, 09:24

View PostPhil352, on 2012-June-23, 07:48, said:

I think I took too much inference from the opening lead. LHO had led a low diamond so i immediately had assigned her 4 diamonds.

RHO played Q, returned 7 and played 8 under his partners J.
With Q87 he would have played Q,8,7 - so it looks that he has KQ87

LHO did lead 4, then played 9 and returned J.
You should ask how they lead (3th, 4th, ?), but it looks like he has J94.
With KJ94 he would have played 49KJ: returning the K from KJ (the Q already played).

I would play for distributions 1435-4342 or 2434-3343.
Given that opps are weak I would not draw too much conclusions from the play and play LHO for 2434.
K, ruff, K, ruff...you never know that RHO ruffs this :rolleyes:
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